Swiss Super League· Regular Season - 10· Cornaredo
FC Lugano
FC Luzern4-0
FT
FC Lugano vs FC Luzern Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More FC Lugano vs FC Luzern tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5FC Lugano +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| 1XFC Lugano or Draw | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | 1.32 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 68% | 1.48 | 1.38 |
| AH2 +1.5FC Luzern +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 58% | 1.74 | 1.41 |
| 1FC Lugano to win | 53% | 1.90 | 1.75 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 50% | 1.98 | 1.85 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 2.02 | 1.89 |
| X2FC Luzern or Draw | 47% | 2.11 | 2.08 |
| AH1 -1.5FC Lugano -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 42% | 2.36 | 2.53 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.08 | 2.90 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.22 | 2.88 |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.85 | 4.30 |
| 2FC Luzern to win | 21% | 4.67 | 4.10 |
| AH2 -1.5FC Luzern -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 15.47 | 7.30 |
FC Lugano vs FC Luzern odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.90 | 3.90 | - | - | 1.36 | 2.90 |
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 4.25 | 4.02 | 1.32 | 2.88 | 1.38 | 2.81 |
| Dafabet | 1.74 | 4.30 | 4.10 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 4.10 | 4.00 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 4.25 | 4.05 | 1.32 | 2.88 | 1.38 | 2.76 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.33 | 3.00 | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.10 | 3.80 | 1.33 | 3.00 | 1.36 | 2.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 4.25 | 4.20 | 1.39 | 3.12 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.69 | 3.84 | 3.63 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.75 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 1.37 | 2.92 | 1.38 | 2.82 |
FC Lugano vs FC Luzern preview & analysis
Match preview
FC Lugano host FC Luzern in the Swiss Super League (Regular Season - 10) at Cornaredo on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FC Lugano arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Hellas Verona 1-3 at home. They're 1st in the table with 28 points from 10 games. FC Luzern arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Most recently they lost to SC Freiburg 2-4 away. They're 8th in the table with 12 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FC Lugano have won 5, FC Luzern have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Lugano favourites: FC Lugano 53%, draw 26%, FC Luzern 21%. We expect around 3.6 goals (2.4 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 69% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Recent form
FC Lugano- 2 OctHHellas Verona1-3
- 20 SeptALausanne4-0
- 16 SeptHFC ST. Gallen4-1
- 12 SeptHBSC Young Boys2-2
- 6 SeptAFC Basel 18933-1
FC Luzern- 3 OctASC Freiburg2-4
- 19 SeptHGrasshoppers5-1
- 13 SeptHFC Basel 18932-4
- 5 SeptABSC Young Boys3-3
- 2 SeptHFC Vaduz2-1
Head to head
Swiss Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +24 | 28 |
| 2 |  BSC Young Boys | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +15 | 22 |
| 3 |  FC Sion | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 4 |  FC ST. Gallen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 5 |  FC Zurich | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Servette FC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  FC Basel 1893 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Luzern | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 9 |  FC Thun | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Vaduz | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Grasshoppers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 |  Lausanne | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
FC Lugano vs FC Luzern: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win FC Lugano vs FC Luzern?
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FC Lugano are favourites. Our model gives FC Lugano a 53% chance of winning, FC Luzern 21%, and the draw 26%.
Will both teams score in FC Lugano vs FC Luzern?
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We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FC Lugano vs FC Luzern kick off?
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FC Lugano vs FC Luzern kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Cornaredo, Lugano.
