Serie A· Regular Season - 6· Luigi Ferraris
Genoa
Fiorentina2-1
FT
Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Kick-off
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Genoa vs Fiorentina tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Fiorentina +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | 1.04 |
| AH1 +1.5Genoa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.31 | 1.15 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.24 |
| X2Fiorentina or Draw | 74% | 1.35 | 1.36 |
| 1XGenoa or Draw | 58% | 1.73 | 1.68 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | 1.82 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 52% | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 48% | 2.10 | 2.00 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 | 2.15 |
| 2Fiorentina to win | 42% | 2.37 | 2.33 |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.15 | 3.38 |
| 1Genoa to win | 26% | 3.83 | 3.45 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.86 | 3.52 |
| AH2 -1.5Fiorentina -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.25 | 4.33 |
| AH1 -1.5Genoa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.20 | 7.40 |
Genoa vs Fiorentina odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.25 | 3.10 | 2.20 | - | - | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| 1xBet | 3.45 | 3.38 | 2.33 | 2.15 | 1.82 | 1.80 | 1.92 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.33 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 1.73 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.35 | 3.28 | 2.26 | 2.08 | 1.76 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.30 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.99 | 1.70 | 1.78 | 1.91 |
| Pinnacle | 3.44 | 3.27 | 2.32 | 2.14 | 1.78 | - | - |
| SBO | 3.01 | 3.08 | 2.26 | 2.13 | 1.76 | - | - |
| Betano | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.30 | 2.12 | 1.75 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
Genoa vs Fiorentina preview & analysis
Match preview
Genoa host Fiorentina in the Serie A (Regular Season - 6) at Luigi Ferraris on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 13:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Genoa are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Rapid 0-2 away. They're 17th in the table with 4 points from 6 games. Fiorentina arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Most recently they drew with Napoli 1-1 at home. They're 19th in the table with 4 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Genoa have won 0, Fiorentina have won 3 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Fiorentina narrow favourites: Genoa 26%, draw 32%, Fiorentina 42%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.0 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Genoa- 2 OctARapid0-2
- 20 SeptAParma1-2
- 15 SeptHSudtirol1-0
- 12 SeptHFrosinone1-1
- 4 SeptHComo1-4
Fiorentina- 20 SeptHNapoli1-1
- 15 SeptHPisa3-0
- 11 SeptAVenezia4-2
- 5 SeptHTorino1-2
- 29 AugHFrosinone0-3
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
Genoa vs Fiorentina: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Genoa vs Fiorentina?
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Fiorentina are favourites. Our model gives Genoa a 26% chance of winning, Fiorentina 42%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Genoa vs Fiorentina?
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We rate both teams to score at 52%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Genoa vs Fiorentina kick off?
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Genoa vs Fiorentina kicks off at 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Luigi Ferraris, Genoa.
