Bundesliga· Regular Season - 5· MEWA Arena
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen3-4
FT
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
More FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Bayer Leverkusen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | 1.09 |
| X2Bayer Leverkusen or Draw | 72% | 1.39 | 1.40 |
| AH1 +1.5FSV Mainz 05 +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.41 | 1.22 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 66% | 1.50 | 1.41 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| 1XFSV Mainz 05 or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | 1.73 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | 1.74 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.29 | 2.27 |
| 2Bayer Leverkusen to win | 44% | 2.29 | 2.24 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | 2.55 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 34% | 2.98 | 2.80 |
| AH2 -1.5Bayer Leverkusen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.46 | 3.64 |
| 1FSV Mainz 05 to win | 28% | 3.55 | 3.18 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.56 | 3.92 |
| AH1 -1.5FSV Mainz 05 -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.48 | 5.75 |
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.15 | - | - | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| 1xBet | 3.18 | 3.92 | 2.24 | 1.44 | 2.55 | 1.41 | 2.73 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.85 | 2.21 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.15 | 1.50 | 2.62 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 3.10 | 3.82 | 2.18 | 1.44 | 2.55 | 1.41 | 2.69 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.90 | 2.20 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.36 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.10 | 1.46 | 2.47 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
| Pinnacle | 3.15 | 3.83 | 2.22 | 1.51 | 2.62 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.81 | 3.54 | 2.16 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.80 | 2.25 | 1.47 | 2.75 | 1.42 | 2.77 |
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen preview & analysis
Match preview
FSV Mainz 05 host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 5) at MEWA Arena on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 13:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FSV Mainz 05 arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Waldhof Mannheim 3-0 away. They're 8th in the table with 7 points from 5 games. Bayer Leverkusen arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat RB Leipzig 2-0 at home. They're 4th in the table with 10 points from 5 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FSV Mainz 05 have won 0, Bayer Leverkusen have won 4 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Bayer Leverkusen narrow favourites: FSV Mainz 05 28%, draw 28%, Bayer Leverkusen 44%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.4 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 66% for both teams to score.
Recent form
FSV Mainz 05- 3 OctAWaldhof Mannheim3-0
- 19 SeptABorussia Mönchengladbach4-3
- 12 SeptHEintracht Frankfurt1-3
- 6 SeptAHamburger SV5-0
- 29 AugHSC Paderborn 070-0
Bayer Leverkusen- 20 SeptHRB Leipzig2-0
- 16 SeptHCelje2-0
- 12 SeptAFC Augsburg2-2
- 5 SeptHUnion Berlin4-0
- 29 AugASV Elversberg2-3
Head to head
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 |  FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 |  FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?
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Bayer Leverkusen are favourites. Our model gives FSV Mainz 05 a 28% chance of winning, Bayer Leverkusen 44%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?
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We rate both teams to score at 66%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen kick off?
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FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen kicks off at 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at MEWA Arena, Mainz.
