Premier League· Regular Season - 6· Emirates Stadium
Arsenal
Leeds2-1
FT
Arsenal vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Kick-off
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Arsenal vs Leeds tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Arsenal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| 1XArsenal or Draw | 88% | 1.13 | 1.11 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| 1Arsenal to win | 64% | 1.57 | 1.47 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | 1.83 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| AH2 +1.5Leeds +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 51% | 1.96 | 1.73 |
| AH1 -1.5Arsenal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 49% | 2.04 | 2.29 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.12 | 2.00 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | 2.14 |
| X2Leeds or Draw | 36% | 2.76 | 2.88 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.08 | 2.77 |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.08 | 4.72 |
| 2Leeds to win | 12% | 8.52 | 8.00 |
| AH2 -1.5Leeds -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 46.55 | - |
Arsenal vs Leeds odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.40 | 7.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 4.72 | 8.00 | 1.83 | 2.14 | 1.93 | 1.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.75 | 8.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 4.55 | 8.50 | 1.79 | 2.05 | 1.98 | 1.74 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.75 | 8.50 | 1.83 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.60 | 8.00 | 1.74 | 1.94 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43 | 4.61 | 8.38 | 1.85 | 2.06 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.37 | 4.35 | 7.24 | 1.81 | 2.07 | - | - |
| Betano | 1.45 | 4.30 | 7.70 | 1.80 | 2.07 | 1.93 | 1.82 |
Arsenal vs Leeds preview & analysis
Match preview
Arsenal host Leeds in the Premier League (Regular Season - 6) at Emirates Stadium on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 11:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Arsenal arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Brighton 0-3 away. They're 2nd in the table with 15 points from 6 games. Leeds arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Most recently they drew with Crystal Palace 0-0 at home. They're 7th in the table with 9 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Arsenal have won 6, Leeds have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Arsenal clear favourites: Arsenal 64%, draw 24%, Leeds 12%. We expect around 2.8 goals (2.2 - 0.6 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Arsenal- 19 SeptABrighton0-3
- 15 SeptAIpswich4-2
- 12 SeptASunderland2-0
- 9 SeptANapoli1-0
Leeds- 20 SeptHCrystal Palace0-0
- 14 SeptHNewcastle4-1
- 9 SeptAChelsea3-6
- 5 SeptABrighton1-1
- 30 AugHBrentford1-1
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Arsenal vs Leeds: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Arsenal vs Leeds?
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Arsenal are favourites. Our model gives Arsenal a 64% chance of winning, Leeds 12%, and the draw 24%.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Leeds?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Arsenal vs Leeds kick off?
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Arsenal vs Leeds kicks off at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Emirates Stadium, London.
