Championship· Regular Season - 19· Molineux Stadium
Wolves
Southampton5 Dec
Wolves vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.5
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Wolves vs Southampton tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Southampton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Southampton or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Wolves +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.31 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| 1XWolves or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 2Southampton to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Southampton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.20 | - |
| 1Wolves to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Wolves -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.41 | - |
Wolves vs Southampton preview & analysis
Match preview
Wolves host Southampton in the Championship (Regular Season - 19) at Molineux Stadium on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Wolves are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Bolton 1-3 at home. They're 10th in the table with 14 points from 9 games. Southampton arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Norwich 1-0 away. They're 7th in the table with 16 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Wolves have won 6, Southampton have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Southampton narrow favourites: Wolves 23%, draw 38%, Southampton 39%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.0 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Wolves 0-1 Southampton.
Recent form
Wolves- 13 OctHBolton1-3
- 10 OctAMiddlesbrough0-1
- 20 SeptHWest Brom1-0
- 16 SeptAEverton0-1
- 13 SeptASheffield Utd1-0
Southampton- 14 OctANorwich1-0
- 11 OctHPortsmouth1-0
- 19 SeptAWrexham1-2
- 12 SeptHBristol City4-1
- 8 SeptHSwansea3-1
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 | Southampton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 8 |  Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 | Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
Wolves vs Southampton: FAQ
What is the Wolves vs Southampton prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Wolves 0-1 Southampton.
Who is the favourite to win Wolves vs Southampton?
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Southampton are favourites. Our model gives Wolves a 23% chance of winning, Southampton 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Wolves vs Southampton?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Wolves vs Southampton kick off?
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Wolves vs Southampton kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton.
