Championship· Regular Season - 19· Vicarage Road
Watford
Millwall5 Dec
Watford vs Millwall Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.66
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Watford vs Millwall tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Millwall +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Millwall or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Watford +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.40 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| 1XWatford or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| 2Millwall to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Millwall -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.53 | - |
| 1Watford to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Watford -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.10 | - |
Watford vs Millwall preview & analysis
Match preview
Watford host Millwall in the Championship (Regular Season - 19) at Vicarage Road on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 12:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Watford are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 13. Most recently they lost to Cardiff 1-5 away. They're 22nd in the table with 8 points from 10 games. Millwall arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Swansea 0-1 at home. They're 11th in the table with 14 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Watford have won 1, Millwall have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Millwall narrow favourites: Watford 23%, draw 38%, Millwall 39%. We expect around 3.1 goals (1.3 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Watford 1-2 Millwall.
Recent form
Watford- 13 OctACardiff1-5
- 10 OctHBurnley0-4
- 18 SeptABristol City0-1
- 12 SeptHStoke City1-2
- 8 SeptHPreston2-1
Millwall- 13 OctHSwansea0-1
- 10 OctAPreston1-0
- 19 SeptHWest Ham2-2
- 15 SeptAMiddlesbrough2-2
- 12 SeptABlackburn1-3
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Watford vs Millwall: FAQ
What is the Watford vs Millwall prediction?
+
Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Watford 1-2 Millwall.
Who is the favourite to win Watford vs Millwall?
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Millwall are favourites. Our model gives Watford a 23% chance of winning, Millwall 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Watford vs Millwall?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Watford vs Millwall kick off?
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Watford vs Millwall kicks off at 12:30 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Vicarage Road, Watford.
