Premier League· Regular Season - 14· Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
Liverpool5 Dec
Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.54
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.5
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Chelsea vs Liverpool tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Chelsea +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 84% | 1.18 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Liverpool +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.31 | - |
| 1XChelsea or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| X2Liverpool or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| 1Chelsea to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Liverpool to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Chelsea -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.22 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Liverpool -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 16% | 6.45 | - |
Chelsea vs Liverpool preview & analysis
Match preview
Chelsea host Liverpool in the Premier League (Regular Season - 14) at Stamford Bridge on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Chelsea arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Most recently they beat Bournemouth 5-1 at home. They're 6th in the table with 10 points from 6 games. Liverpool arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Lask Linz 6-3 away. They're 9th in the table with 9 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Chelsea have won 2, Liverpool have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Chelsea narrow favourites: Chelsea 38%, draw 32%, Liverpool 30%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.8 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 65% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Chelsea 2-1 Liverpool.
Recent form
Chelsea- 10 OctHBournemouth5-1
- 18 SeptABrentford0-3
- 12 SeptHHull City2-2
- 9 SeptHLeeds6-3
- 6 SeptAArsenal1-2
Liverpool- 14 OctALask Linz6-3
- 11 OctHManchester City0-3
- 20 SeptABournemouth1-0
- 15 SeptHTottenham3-1
- 12 SeptHFulham0-0
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Chelsea vs Liverpool: FAQ
What is the Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Chelsea 2-1 Liverpool.
Who is the favourite to win Chelsea vs Liverpool?
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Chelsea are favourites. Our model gives Chelsea a 38% chance of winning, Liverpool 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Liverpool?
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We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Chelsea vs Liverpool kick off?
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Chelsea vs Liverpool kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Stamford Bridge, London.
