Championship· Regular Season - 19· Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City
Swansea5 Dec
Bristol City vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.5
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Bristol City vs Swansea tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Swansea +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Swansea or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Bristol City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.31 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| 1XBristol City or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 2Swansea to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Swansea -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.20 | - |
| 1Bristol City to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Bristol City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.41 | - |
Bristol City vs Swansea preview & analysis
Match preview
Bristol City host Swansea in the Championship (Regular Season - 19) at Ashton Gate Stadium on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 12:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Bristol City arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Most recently they lost to Blackburn 0-1 at home. They're 12th in the table with 14 points from 10 games. Swansea arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Millwall 1-0 away. They're 1st in the table with 23 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Bristol City have won 3, Swansea have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Swansea narrow favourites: Bristol City 23%, draw 38%, Swansea 39%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.0 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Bristol City 0-1 Swansea.
Recent form
Bristol City- 13 OctHBlackburn0-1
- 10 OctACharlton1-1
- 3 OctACrystal Palace2-0
- 18 SeptHWatford1-0
- 15 SeptHLincoln0-1
Swansea- 13 OctAMillwall1-0
- 10 OctHNorwich2-1
- 19 SeptALincoln2-1
- 12 SeptHBurnley3-1
- 8 SeptASouthampton1-3
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 10 |  Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
Bristol City vs Swansea: FAQ
What is the Bristol City vs Swansea prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Bristol City 0-1 Swansea.
Who is the favourite to win Bristol City vs Swansea?
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Swansea are favourites. Our model gives Bristol City a 23% chance of winning, Swansea 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Swansea?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Bristol City vs Swansea kick off?
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Bristol City vs Swansea kicks off at 12:30 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol.
