Championship· Regular Season - 19· The Valley
Charlton
Birmingham5 Dec
Charlton vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.5
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Charlton vs Birmingham tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Birmingham +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Birmingham or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Charlton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.31 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| 1XCharlton or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 2Birmingham to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Birmingham -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.20 | - |
| 1Charlton to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Charlton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.41 | - |
Charlton vs Birmingham preview & analysis
Match preview
Charlton host Birmingham in the Championship (Regular Season - 19) at The Valley on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Charlton arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Burnley 2-2 away. They're 13th in the table with 14 points from 10 games. Birmingham arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Preston 4-0 at home. They're 4th in the table with 17 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Charlton have won 2, Birmingham have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Birmingham narrow favourites: Charlton 23%, draw 38%, Birmingham 39%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.0 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Charlton 0-1 Birmingham.
Recent form
Charlton- 13 OctABurnley2-2
- 10 OctHBristol City1-1
- 19 SeptACardiff1-3
- 12 SeptHPortsmouth0-0
- 9 SeptHQPR0-0
Birmingham- 13 OctHPreston4-0
- 10 OctAWest Brom1-0
- 19 SeptHMiddlesbrough2-2
- 12 SeptADerby2-1
- 9 SeptANorwich1-2
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
Charlton vs Birmingham: FAQ
What is the Charlton vs Birmingham prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Charlton 0-1 Birmingham.
Who is the favourite to win Charlton vs Birmingham?
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Birmingham are favourites. Our model gives Charlton a 23% chance of winning, Birmingham 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Charlton vs Birmingham?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Charlton vs Birmingham kick off?
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Charlton vs Birmingham kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at The Valley, London.
