Championship· Regular Season - 9· Vicarage Road
Watford
Burnley0-4
FT
Watford vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Kick-off
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Watford vs Burnley tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Burnley +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | 1.11 |
| AH1 +1.5Watford +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.33 | 1.24 |
| X2Burnley or Draw | 72% | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.71 | 1.65 |
| 1XWatford or Draw | 58% | 1.72 | 1.62 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | 1.78 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | 2.10 |
| 2Burnley to win | 42% | 2.39 | 2.34 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.41 | 2.24 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.98 | 2.78 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.37 | 3.60 |
| 1Watford to win | 28% | 3.52 | 3.06 |
| AH2 -1.5Burnley -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 4.05 | 4.06 |
| AH1 -1.5Watford -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.57 | 6.51 |
Watford vs Burnley odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.25 | - | - | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 3.06 | 3.57 | 2.30 | 1.78 | 2.10 | 1.65 | 2.24 |
| Dafabet | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.34 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.93 | 3.45 | 2.25 | 1.72 | 2.05 | 1.57 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.30 | 1.69 | 2.01 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05 | 3.64 | 2.33 | 1.78 | 2.12 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.85 | 3.28 | 2.20 | 1.74 | 2.11 | - | - |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.45 | 2.32 | 1.75 | 2.12 | 1.57 | 2.30 |
Watford vs Burnley preview & analysis
Match preview
Watford host Burnley in the Championship (Regular Season - 9) at Vicarage Road on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Watford are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Bristol City 0-1 away. They're 22nd in the table with 8 points from 10 games. Burnley arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Derby 1-1 at home. They're 21st in the table with 8 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Watford have won 1, Burnley have won 3 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Burnley narrow favourites: Watford 28%, draw 30%, Burnley 42%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.2 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 54% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Watford- 18 SeptABristol City0-1
- 12 SeptHStoke City1-2
- 8 SeptHPreston2-1
- 5 SeptAWest Brom0-1
Burnley- 19 SeptHDerby1-1
- 12 SeptASwansea1-3
- 8 SeptAWrexham1-1
- 5 SeptHBristol City1-2
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 19 |  Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 20 |  Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Watford vs Burnley: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Watford vs Burnley?
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Burnley are favourites. Our model gives Watford a 28% chance of winning, Burnley 42%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Watford vs Burnley?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Watford vs Burnley kick off?
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Watford vs Burnley kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Vicarage Road, Watford.
