Championship· Regular Season - 9· Toughsheet Community Stadium
Bolton
Stoke City1-2
FT
Bolton vs Stoke City Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Kick-off
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More Bolton vs Stoke City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Stoke City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 87% | 1.15 | 1.09 |
| AH1 +1.5Bolton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.25 | 1.12 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.28 |
| X2Stoke City or Draw | 69% | 1.45 | 1.44 |
| 1XBolton or Draw | 62% | 1.62 | 1.48 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.82 | 1.70 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | 1.82 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | 1.92 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.22 | 2.05 |
| 2Stoke City to win | 38% | 2.62 | 2.60 |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.23 | 3.45 |
| 1Bolton to win | 31% | 3.24 | 2.75 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.45 | 3.08 |
| AH2 -1.5Stoke City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 4.99 | 4.75 |
| AH1 -1.5Bolton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 13% | 7.47 | 5.25 |
Bolton vs Stoke City odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.50 | - | - | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| 1xBet | 2.71 | 3.24 | 2.52 | 1.92 | 1.82 | 1.70 | 2.04 |
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 3.45 | 2.60 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.71 | 3.24 | 2.52 | 1.92 | 1.82 | 1.70 | 2.01 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.60 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.55 | 1.87 | 1.81 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.82 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 1.97 | 1.92 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.61 | 3.13 | 2.45 | 1.99 | 1.85 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.35 | 2.57 | 1.95 | 1.88 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
Bolton vs Stoke City preview & analysis
Match preview
Bolton host Stoke City in the Championship (Regular Season - 9) at Toughsheet Community Stadium on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Bolton arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Most recently they beat Norwich 4-3 away. They're 14th in the table with 13 points from 10 games. Stoke City arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Sheffield Utd 2-1 at home. They're 6th in the table with 16 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Bolton have won 1, Stoke City have won 3 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Stoke City narrow favourites: Bolton 31%, draw 31%, Stoke City 38%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.2 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 49% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Bolton- 20 SeptANorwich4-3
- 12 SeptHCardiff1-0
- 8 SeptHWest Ham2-3
- 5 SeptAMillwall0-4
Stoke City- 19 SeptHSheffield Utd2-1
- 12 SeptAWatford2-1
- 8 SeptACardiff1-1
- 5 SeptHCharlton4-0
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 5 |  West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 16 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 13 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
Bolton vs Stoke City: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Bolton vs Stoke City?
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Stoke City are favourites. Our model gives Bolton a 31% chance of winning, Stoke City 38%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Bolton vs Stoke City?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Bolton vs Stoke City kick off?
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Bolton vs Stoke City kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Toughsheet Community Stadium, Horwich.
