Championship· Regular Season - 9· Pride Park Stadium
Derby
Wrexham1-1
FT
Derby vs Wrexham Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Kick-off
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More Derby vs Wrexham tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Wrexham +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 87% | 1.15 | 1.09 |
| AH1 +1.5Derby +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.26 | 1.12 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | 1.30 |
| X2Wrexham or Draw | 70% | 1.43 | 1.41 |
| 1XDerby or Draw | 61% | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.79 | 1.67 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 | 1.87 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 | 1.87 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.26 | 2.10 |
| 2Wrexham to win | 39% | 2.58 | 2.50 |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.22 | 3.40 |
| 1Derby to win | 30% | 3.31 | 2.85 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.39 | 2.97 |
| AH2 -1.5Wrexham -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.79 | 4.65 |
| AH1 -1.5Derby -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 13% | 7.67 | 5.25 |
Derby vs Wrexham odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.50 | - | - | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.76 | 3.24 | 2.48 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.67 | 2.08 |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.40 | 2.50 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.55 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.76 | 3.24 | 2.48 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.45 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.60 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.45 | 1.83 | 1.84 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 1.94 | 1.94 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.70 | 3.19 | 2.34 | 1.89 | 1.95 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.77 | 3.40 | 2.52 | 1.93 | 1.91 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
Derby vs Wrexham preview & analysis
Match preview
Derby host Wrexham in the Championship (Regular Season - 9) at Pride Park Stadium on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Derby are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Burnley 1-1 away. They're 23rd in the table with 6 points from 9 games. Wrexham arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat Southampton 2-1 at home. They're 16th in the table with 11 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Derby have won 0, Wrexham have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Wrexham narrow favourites: Derby 30%, draw 31%, Wrexham 39%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.2 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 50% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Derby- 19 SeptABurnley1-1
- 12 SeptHBirmingham1-2
- 9 SeptHWest Brom0-1
- 5 SeptAWest Ham0-3
- 1 SeptAPortsmouth2-0
Wrexham- 19 SeptHSouthampton2-1
- 11 SeptAWest Ham0-6
- 8 SeptHBurnley1-1
- 5 SeptASwansea0-0
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 |  Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Derby vs Wrexham: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Derby vs Wrexham?
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Wrexham are favourites. Our model gives Derby a 30% chance of winning, Wrexham 39%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Derby vs Wrexham?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Derby vs Wrexham kick off?
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Derby vs Wrexham kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Pride Park Stadium, Derby.
