Championship· Regular Season - 19· Bet365 Stadium
Stoke City
QPR5 Dec
Stoke City vs QPR Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.80
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Stoke City vs QPR tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Stoke City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XStoke City or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5QPR +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| X2QPR or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| 1Stoke City to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Stoke City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.08 | - |
| 2QPR to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5QPR -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 13.10 | - |
Stoke City vs QPR preview & analysis
Match preview
Stoke City host QPR in the Championship (Regular Season - 19) at Bet365 Stadium on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Stoke City arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Middlesbrough 2-3 at home. They're 9th in the table with 16 points from 10 games. QPR arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Derby 4-1 at home. They're 5th in the table with 17 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Stoke City have won 2, QPR have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Stoke City narrow favourites: Stoke City 44%, draw 38%, QPR 18%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 55% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Stoke City 1-0 QPR.
Recent form
Stoke City- 13 OctHMiddlesbrough2-3
- 10 OctABolton2-1
- 19 SeptHSheffield Utd2-1
- 12 SeptAWatford2-1
- 8 SeptACardiff1-1
QPR- 14 OctHDerby4-1
- 9 OctAWest Ham1-1
- 19 SeptHPreston2-2
- 12 SeptAWest Brom1-1
- 9 SeptACharlton0-0
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 | QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  Wolves | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |  Southampton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
Stoke City vs QPR: FAQ
What is the Stoke City vs QPR prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Stoke City 1-0 QPR.
Who is the favourite to win Stoke City vs QPR?
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Stoke City are favourites. Our model gives Stoke City a 44% chance of winning, QPR 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Stoke City vs QPR?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Stoke City vs QPR kick off?
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Stoke City vs QPR kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent.
