J1 League· Regular Season - 10· IAI Stadium Nihondaira
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka17 Oct
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.82
Expected goals
1.6 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
More Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Shimizu S-pulse +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| AH2 +1.5Gamba Osaka +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.32 | 1.14 |
| 1XShimizu S-pulse or Draw | 72% | 1.38 | 1.37 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 | 1.28 |
| X2Gamba Osaka or Draw | 58% | 1.73 | 1.65 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 | 1.91 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 | 1.91 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.22 | 2.06 |
| 1Shimizu S-pulse to win | 42% | 2.37 | 2.30 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.39 | 3.08 |
| 2Gamba Osaka to win | 28% | 3.63 | 3.15 |
| AH1 -1.5Shimizu S-pulse -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.14 | 4.30 |
| AH2 -1.5Gamba Osaka -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.29 | 6.55 |
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.00 | - | - | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.42 | 3.12 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.68 | 2.06 |
| Dafabet | 2.28 | 3.50 | 3.15 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.24 | 3.34 | 3.04 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.68 | 2.03 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.83 | 1.84 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.12 | 1.95 | 1.90 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.15 | 3.15 | 2.88 | 1.88 | 1.96 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.40 | 3.05 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka preview & analysis
Match preview
Shimizu S-pulse host Gamba Osaka in the J1 League (Regular Season - 10) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 04:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Shimizu S-pulse arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 away. They're 10th in the table with 13 points from 9 games. Gamba Osaka are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Most recently they beat Newcastle Jets 3-1 away. They're 18th in the table with 6 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Shimizu S-pulse have won 1, Gamba Osaka have won 2 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Shimizu S-pulse narrow favourites: Shimizu S-pulse 42%, draw 30%, Gamba Osaka 28%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.6 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 50% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.70, which our model rates at a 55% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Shimizu S-pulse 1-0 Gamba Osaka.
Recent form
Shimizu S-pulse- 14 OctAYokohama F. Marinos1-2
- 11 OctAMito Hollyhock2-1
- 7 OctHV-varen Nagasaki2-1
- 29 SeptAKanazawa2-0
- 19 SeptHJEF United Chiba2-1
Gamba Osaka- 13 OctANewcastle Jets3-1
- 9 OctAKashima0-2
- 3 OctAKashiwa Reysol4-5
- 23 SeptHTokushima Vortis5-0
- 20 SeptHVissel Kobe0-1
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka: FAQ
What is the Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka prediction?
+
Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.70. Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1-0 Gamba Osaka.
Who is the favourite to win Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
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Shimizu S-pulse are favourites. Our model gives Shimizu S-pulse a 42% chance of winning, Gamba Osaka 28%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka kick off?
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Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka kicks off at 04:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka.
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