J1 League· Regular Season - 10· Ajinomoto Stadium
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo17 Oct
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
FC Tokyo to win
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.87
Expected goals
0.8 - 1.7
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Match probabilities
More Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5FC Tokyo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | 1.01 |
| X2FC Tokyo or Draw | 82% | 1.22 | 1.18 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.22 |
| AH1 +1.5Tokyo Verdy +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 65% | 1.54 | 1.36 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 | 1.79 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | 1.77 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | 1.95 |
| 1XTokyo Verdy or Draw | 47% | 2.15 | 2.16 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 | 2.05 |
| AH2 -1.5FC Tokyo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 35% | 2.87 | 3.19 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.49 | 3.82 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| 1Tokyo Verdy to win | 18% | 5.61 | 5.13 |
| AH1 -1.5Tokyo Verdy -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 21.70 | 10.00 |
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.50 | 1.70 | - | - | 1.95 | 1.75 |
| 1xBet | 5.13 | 3.82 | 1.69 | 2.05 | 1.79 | 1.94 | 1.77 |
| Dafabet | 4.90 | 3.70 | 1.76 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 5.00 | 3.72 | 1.65 | 2.01 | 1.75 | 1.94 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.67 | 1.97 | 1.72 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
| Pinnacle | 5.02 | 3.88 | 1.67 | 2.05 | 1.80 | - | - |
| SBO | 4.25 | 3.23 | 1.72 | 2.12 | 1.73 | - | - |
| Betano | 4.70 | 3.55 | 1.75 | 2.07 | 1.72 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo preview & analysis
Match preview
Tokyo Verdy host FC Tokyo in the J1 League (Regular Season - 10) at Ajinomoto Stadium on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 05:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Tokyo Verdy are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-2 at home. They're 20th in the table with 4 points from 9 games. FC Tokyo arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 1. Most recently they lost to Mito Hollyhock 0-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 20 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Tokyo Verdy have won 0, FC Tokyo have won 2 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Tokyo favourites: Tokyo Verdy 18%, draw 29%, FC Tokyo 53%. We expect around 2.5 goals (0.8 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
FC Tokyo are the better side on the numbers and should have enough to win on the road. Our pick is FC Tokyo to win at 1.76, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Tokyo Verdy 0-1 FC Tokyo.
Recent form
Tokyo Verdy- 11 OctHSanfrecce Hiroshima0-2
- 7 OctAGainare Tottori0-0
- 29 SeptASagan Tosu1-2
- 19 SeptAUrawa1-3
- 13 SeptHJEF United Chiba1-1
FC Tokyo- 14 OctAMito Hollyhock0-1
- 10 OctHUrawa3-0
- 7 OctHShonan Bellmare4-0
- 29 SeptAEhime FC2-0
- 19 SeptHNagoya Grampus1-0
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo: FAQ
What is the Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo prediction?
+
Our tip is FC Tokyo to win at odds of 1.76. Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 0-1 FC Tokyo.
Who is the favourite to win Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
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FC Tokyo are favourites. Our model gives Tokyo Verdy a 18% chance of winning, FC Tokyo 53%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo kick off?
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Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo kicks off at 05:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu.
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