La Liga· Regular Season - 9· RCDE Stadium
Espanyol
Atletico Madrid17 Oct
Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Atletico Madrid to win
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
0.9 - 1.9
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Expert analysis
Atletico Madrid to win
Analysis by Diego Ferraz
LaLiga, Serie A & South America ·
Atletico Madrid are in great shape with effective pressing and strong momentum after five straight wins. Espanyol have gone three games without a win and sit lower on the table making an away victory the most likely outcome.
Form & context
Espanyol are 12th with 8 points from 8 matches. In their last five games they recorded 5 games: 1W 2D 2L scoring 6 and conceding 7 over 2.5 in 2 BTTS in 4. Atletico Madrid are second with 19 points from 8 matches. They have 5 games: 5W 0D 0L scoring 13 and conceding 2 over 2.5 in 4 BTTS in 2.
Team news
Team news is provisional with two days until kickoff. Espanyol are missing K. Garcia with a hamstring injury and Jofre with a groin injury. Atletico Madrid are without Koke for personal reasons. According to The Stats Zone Atletico Madrid have no other unavailable players.
Key matchup and tactics
Atletico Madrid are in great shape with effective pressing and strong momentum. Key duels will be in midfield as they arrive after big wins. Espanyol are fighting for points at home but their defensive shape has been tested.
The numbers
Model probabilities give Atletico Madrid 51 percent chance to win. Expected goals stand at 0.93 for Espanyol and 1.87 for Atletico Madrid. The most likely scoreline is 0-1.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Atletico Madrid have five straight wins with 13 goals scored
- 2Espanyol have mixed results including three games without a win
- 3Atletico Madrid hold second place with 19 points from eight matches
Verdict
Atletico Madrid to win at best odds of 1.91. This is the most likely outcome according to the 51 percent model probability rather than a big value price.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Atletico Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| X2Atletico Madrid or Draw | 81% | 1.23 | 1.22 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | 1.36 |
| AH1 +1.5Espanyol +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.59 | 1.45 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 54% | 1.86 | 1.73 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | 1.87 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | 2.08 |
| 1XEspanyol or Draw | 47% | 2.13 | 2.13 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 46% | 2.17 | 2.05 |
| AH2 -1.5Atletico Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.70 | 3.08 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.14 | 2.83 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.56 | 3.94 |
| 1Espanyol to win | 19% | 5.29 | 4.88 |
| AH1 -1.5Espanyol -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 19.29 | 9.10 |
Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 4.50 | 3.60 | 1.75 | - | - | 1.73 | 2.05 |
| 1xBet | 4.88 | 3.94 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 2.08 | 1.73 | 2.02 |
| Dafabet | 4.70 | 3.90 | 1.75 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.70 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 4.75 | 3.84 | 1.75 | 1.81 | 2.02 | 1.73 | 1.99 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.73 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 4.50 | 3.70 | 1.67 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
| Pinnacle | 4.68 | 3.91 | 1.76 | 1.86 | 2.02 | - | - |
| SBO | 4.10 | 3.43 | 1.69 | 1.82 | 2.04 | - | - |
| Betano | 4.55 | 3.80 | 1.75 | 1.82 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 2.02 |
Recent form
Espanyol- 9 OctAMalaga1-1
- 18 SeptHElche1-3
- 15 SeptARayo Vallecano1-2
- 12 SeptAOsasuna2-0
- 6 SeptHSevilla1-1
Atletico Madrid- 13 OctHManchester United2-0
- 10 OctAAlaves2-1
- 20 SeptHReal Madrid2-1
- 16 SeptHOsasuna4-0
- 13 SeptAReal Sociedad3-0
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid: FAQ
What is the Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
+
Our tip is Atletico Madrid to win at odds of 1.80. Our predicted score is Espanyol 0-1 Atletico Madrid.
Who is the favourite to win Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?
+
Atletico Madrid are favourites. Our model gives Espanyol a 19% chance of winning, Atletico Madrid 53%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?
+
We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
+
Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid kicks off at 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at RCDE Stadium, Cornella.
More La Liga predictions
See allOther big matches
See all
Werder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07Both teams to score · 62%
