Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 7· Estádio D. Afonso Henriques
Vitória SC
Moreirense1-1
FT
Vitória SC vs Moreirense Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 20 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Vitória SC vs Moreirense tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Vitória SC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XVitória SC or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Moreirense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Moreirense or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Vitória SC to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Vitória SC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Moreirense to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Moreirense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Vitória SC vs Moreirense preview & analysis
Match preview
Vitória SC host Moreirense in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 7) at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques on Sunday, 20 September 2026, with kick-off at 14:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Vitória SC arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 3. Most recently they lost to Academico Viseu 1-2 away. They're 15th in the table with 5 points from 8 games. Moreirense arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Maritimo 3-1 at home. They're 12th in the table with 8 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Vitória SC have won 3, Moreirense have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.7 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Vitória SC narrow favourites: Vitória SC 44%, draw 38%, Moreirense 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Vitória SC- 12 SeptAAcademico Viseu1-2
- 6 SeptHCasa Pia0-0
- 31 AugASC Braga0-1
Moreirense- 14 SeptHMaritimo3-1
- 9 SeptHBenfica0-4
- 4 SeptAFC Porto1-2
- 30 AugACasa Pia1-0
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Vitória SC vs Moreirense: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Vitória SC vs Moreirense?
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Vitória SC are favourites. Our model gives Vitória SC a 44% chance of winning, Moreirense 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Vitória SC vs Moreirense?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Vitória SC vs Moreirense kick off?
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Vitória SC vs Moreirense kicks off at 14:30 UTC on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães.
