Serie A· Regular Season - 5· Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina
Napoli1-1
FT
Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 20 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Fiorentina vs Napoli tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Napoli +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Napoli or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Fiorentina +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| 1XFiorentina or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| 2Napoli to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Napoli -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.27 | - |
| 1Fiorentina to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Fiorentina -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.61 | - |
Fiorentina vs Napoli preview & analysis
Match preview
Fiorentina host Napoli in the Serie A (Regular Season - 5) at Stadio Artemio Franchi on Sunday, 20 September 2026, with kick-off at 10:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Fiorentina arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Pisa 3-0 at home. They're 19th in the table with 4 points from 6 games. Napoli arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Bologna 1-0 at home. They're 8th in the table with 10 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Fiorentina have won 0, Napoli have won 5 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Napoli narrow favourites: Fiorentina 23%, draw 38%, Napoli 39%. We expect around 3.4 goals (1.4 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 67% for over 2.5 and 66% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Fiorentina- 15 SeptHPisa3-0
- 11 SeptAVenezia4-2
- 5 SeptHTorino1-2
- 29 AugHFrosinone0-3
Napoli- 13 SeptHBologna1-0
- 9 SeptHArsenal0-1
- 5 SeptAInter2-3
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
Fiorentina vs Napoli: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Fiorentina vs Napoli?
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Napoli are favourites. Our model gives Fiorentina a 23% chance of winning, Napoli 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Napoli?
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We rate both teams to score at 66%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Fiorentina vs Napoli kick off?
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Fiorentina vs Napoli kicks off at 10:30 UTC on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence.
