Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 7· Estádio do Dragão
FC Porto
Benfica3-1
FT
FC Porto vs Benfica Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 20 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More FC Porto vs Benfica tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Benfica +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Benfica or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | - |
| AH1 +1.5FC Porto +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| 1XFC Porto or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.06 | - |
| 2Benfica to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.11 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Benfica -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.17 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.30 | - |
| 1FC Porto to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC Porto -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.43 | - |
FC Porto vs Benfica preview & analysis
Match preview
FC Porto host Benfica in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 7) at Estádio do Dragão on Sunday, 20 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FC Porto arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Casa Pia 4-1 away. They're 1st in the table with 24 points from 8 games. Benfica arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat AC Milan 2-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 19 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FC Porto have won 2, Benfica have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Benfica narrow favourites: FC Porto 23%, draw 38%, Benfica 39%. We expect around 3.6 goals (1.5 - 2.1 in expected goals), with 70% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Recent form
FC Porto- 12 SeptACasa Pia4-1
- 8 SeptHManchester City0-2
Benfica- 16 SeptAAC Milan2-0
- 13 SeptHGIL Vicente3-1
- 9 SeptAMoreirense4-0
- 5 SeptAMaritimo3-0
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
FC Porto vs Benfica: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win FC Porto vs Benfica?
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Benfica are favourites. Our model gives FC Porto a 23% chance of winning, Benfica 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in FC Porto vs Benfica?
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We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FC Porto vs Benfica kick off?
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FC Porto vs Benfica kicks off at 19:30 UTC on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at Estádio do Dragão, Porto.
