Premier League· Regular Season - 5· Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth
Liverpool0-1
FT
Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 20 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Bournemouth vs Liverpool tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Liverpool +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Liverpool or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Bournemouth +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XBournemouth or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Liverpool to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Liverpool -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Bournemouth to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Bournemouth -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.45 | - |
Bournemouth vs Liverpool preview & analysis
Match preview
Bournemouth host Liverpool in the Premier League (Regular Season - 5) at Vitality Stadium on Sunday, 20 September 2026, with kick-off at 13:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Bournemouth arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Real Sociedad 2-1 away. They're 18th in the table with 3 points from 6 games. Liverpool arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Tottenham 3-1 at home. They're 9th in the table with 9 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Bournemouth have won 1, Liverpool have won 5 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Liverpool narrow favourites: Bournemouth 23%, draw 38%, Liverpool 39%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.2 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Bournemouth- 17 SeptAReal Sociedad2-1
- 12 SeptHBrentford2-2
- 8 SeptHLincoln4-0
- 5 SeptANewcastle2-2
Liverpool- 15 SeptHTottenham3-1
- 12 SeptHFulham0-0
- 9 SeptHAtletico Madrid2-1
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Bournemouth vs Liverpool: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
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Liverpool are favourites. Our model gives Bournemouth a 23% chance of winning, Liverpool 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Bournemouth vs Liverpool kick off?
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Bournemouth vs Liverpool kicks off at 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth.
