Premier League· Regular Season - 5· Etihad Stadium
Manchester City
Sunderland5-3
FT
Manchester City vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 20 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Manchester City vs Sunderland tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Manchester City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| 1XManchester City or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Sunderland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.46 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.68 | - |
| X2Sunderland or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| 1Manchester City to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.46 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Manchester City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.18 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| 2Sunderland to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sunderland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 21.56 | - |
Manchester City vs Sunderland preview & analysis
Match preview
Manchester City host Sunderland in the Premier League (Regular Season - 5) at Etihad Stadium on Sunday, 20 September 2026, with kick-off at 13:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Manchester City arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat Norwich 5-0 at home. They're 1st in the table with 18 points from 6 games. Sunderland arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat AZ Alkmaar 1-0 at home. They're 17th in the table with 4 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Manchester City have won 5, Sunderland have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Manchester City favourites: Manchester City 47%, draw 41%, Sunderland 12%. We expect around 2.3 goals (1.6 - 0.7 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Manchester City- 17 SeptHNorwich5-0
- 13 SeptAManchester United1-0
- 8 SeptAFC Porto2-0
Sunderland- 16 SeptHAZ Alkmaar1-0
- 12 SeptHArsenal0-2
- 8 SeptHHull City1-0
- 5 SeptABrentford1-1
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Manchester City vs Sunderland: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Manchester City vs Sunderland?
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Manchester City are favourites. Our model gives Manchester City a 47% chance of winning, Sunderland 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Sunderland?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Manchester City vs Sunderland kick off?
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Manchester City vs Sunderland kicks off at 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at Etihad Stadium, Manchester.
