Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 7· Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Estoril
Casa Pia1-2
FT
Estoril vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 20 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Estoril vs Casa Pia tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Estoril +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| 1XEstoril or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Casa Pia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.36 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 57% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Casa Pia or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Estoril to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Estoril -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.77 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| 2Casa Pia to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Casa Pia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 15.04 | - |
Estoril vs Casa Pia preview & analysis
Match preview
Estoril host Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 7) at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota on Sunday, 20 September 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Estoril are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to SC Braga 0-1 away. They're 18th in the table with 2 points from 8 games. Casa Pia are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to FC Porto 1-4 at home. They're 17th in the table with 4 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Estoril have won 2, Casa Pia have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Estoril narrow favourites: Estoril 44%, draw 38%, Casa Pia 18%. We expect around 2.3 goals (1.5 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Estoril- 14 SeptASC Braga0-1
- 7 SeptHArouca0-0
- 31 AugABenfica1-2
- 22 AugHRio Ave0-2
Casa Pia- 12 SeptHFC Porto1-4
- 6 SeptAVitória SC0-0
- 30 AugHMoreirense0-1
- 24 AugAGIL Vicente0-2
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Estoril vs Casa Pia: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Estoril vs Casa Pia?
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Estoril are favourites. Our model gives Estoril a 44% chance of winning, Casa Pia 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Estoril vs Casa Pia?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Estoril vs Casa Pia kick off?
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Estoril vs Casa Pia kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Cascais.
