Brasileirão· Regular Season - 28· São Januário
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba5-0
FT
Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 20 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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More Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Vasco DA Gama +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XVasco DA Gama or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Coritiba +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Coritiba or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| 1Vasco DA Gama to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Vasco DA Gama -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.67 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| 2Coritiba to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Coritiba -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.07 | - |
Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba preview & analysis
Match preview
Vasco DA Gama host Coritiba in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 28) at São Januário on Sunday, 20 September 2026, with kick-off at 23:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Vasco DA Gama arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Santa Fe 2-0 at home. They're 14th in the table with 35 points from 29 games. Coritiba arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Atletico Paranaense 3-3 at home. They're 11th in the table with 39 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Vasco DA Gama have won 2, Coritiba have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Vasco DA Gama narrow favourites: Vasco DA Gama 44%, draw 38%, Coritiba 18%. We expect around 3.5 goals (2.2 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 68% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Vasco DA Gama- 15 SeptHSanta Fe2-0
- 12 SeptAGremio2-1
Coritiba- 12 SeptHAtletico Paranaense3-3
- 6 SeptHMirassol1-2
- 1 SeptARemo3-2
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 | Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba?
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Vasco DA Gama are favourites. Our model gives Vasco DA Gama a 44% chance of winning, Coritiba 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba kick off?
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Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba kicks off at 23:30 UTC on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at São Januário, Rio de Janeiro.
