Brasileirão· Regular Season - 28· Neo Quimica Arena
Corinthians
Fluminense1-3
FT
Corinthians vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 20 September 2026 · Kick-off
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Corinthians vs Fluminense tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Fluminense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Fluminense or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Corinthians +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.41 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| 1XCorinthians or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| 2Fluminense to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Fluminense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.45 | - |
| 1Corinthians to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Corinthians -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.94 | - |
Corinthians vs Fluminense preview & analysis
Match preview
Corinthians host Fluminense in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 28) at Neo Quimica Arena on Sunday, 20 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Corinthians arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to Estudiantes L.P. 0-1 at home. They're 16th in the table with 32 points from 30 games. Fluminense arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Platense 1-2 away. They're 4th in the table with 51 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Corinthians have won 2, Fluminense have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Fluminense narrow favourites: Corinthians 23%, draw 38%, Fluminense 39%. We expect around 3.2 goals (1.3 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 62% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Corinthians- 17 SeptHEstudiantes L.P.0-1
- 13 SeptAFlamengo1-2
- 10 SeptAEstudiantes L.P.1-1
Fluminense- 15 SeptAPlatense1-2
- 12 SeptAAtletico-MG1-3
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Corinthians vs Fluminense: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Corinthians vs Fluminense?
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Fluminense are favourites. Our model gives Corinthians a 23% chance of winning, Fluminense 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Corinthians vs Fluminense?
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We rate both teams to score at 62%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Corinthians vs Fluminense kick off?
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Corinthians vs Fluminense kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo.
