Twente
FC Thun1-0
FT
Twente vs FC Thun Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
Predicted score
3-0
Fair odds
1.74
Expected goals
3.2 - 0.9
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Votes: 0Expert analysis
Twente vs Thun: both teams to score at 1.62
Analysis by Tunde Okafor
Europa League, Conference League, Turkey & Saudi ·
Twente are scoring freely at home while Thun keep conceding and keep finding the net themselves. At 1.62, both teams to score is the most likely outcome rather than a big-value price.
Form and context
Twente arrive in strong shape, while Thun are wobbling domestically.
- Twente's last five read 4W 1D 0L, with 14 scored and only 3 conceded.
- Thun have lost three of five, shipping 10 goals across that run.
- FC Update reports Thun sit ninth in Switzerland with ten points and 27 goals conceded after ten league games.
- Both clubs open their six-match league phase here, and Thun are back in a European main phase after a 13-year absence.
Team news
Both sides are missing defenders, and Thun are also without their captain.
- Twente are without goalkeeper Lars Unnerstall and defender Max Bruns, confirmed by the club, with Joël Drommel expected in goal.
- Stav Lemkin trained but is left out, while Sondre Ørjasæter and Filip Thorvaldsen return to the squad.
- Thun's Genís Montolio is out with a cruciate ligament injury and Marc Gutbub has been unavailable.
- Marco Bürki stayed in Switzerland for the birth of his child, so Jan Bamert wears the armband.
- Predicted line-ups differ between previews, so check the confirmed teams before kickoff.
Key matchup
The tension here is Twente's home firepower against a Thun defence that keeps leaking.
- Twente's recent home wins include 7-0, 3-2, 2-0 and 1-0 scorelines.
- Thun have scored in three of five and hit two in each of their last two defeats.
- Twente boss John van den Brom told the club's site: "The objective is to progress. We are going for it."
- Forward Younes Taha added Twente must not underestimate Thun and have to go "all out from the first minute".
The numbers
The projection leans towards goals at both ends, but it is not a certainty.
- Both teams to score is given a 58% chance, with 1.62 the best available price and fair odds of 1.72.
- Expected goals read 3.12 for Twente and 0.88 for Thun, with 3-0 the single most likely score.
- Over 2.5 goals is rated 76%; Twente's games went over 2.5 in 2 of 5, Thun's in 3 of 5.
- The honest risk: Twente have conceded just 3 in five, so Thun's half of the bet carries the threat.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Twente have scored 14 in five games, so the home side of the bet looks solid.
- 2Thun have scored in three of five and netted twice in each of their last two defeats.
- 3Both defences are short of regulars, with Unnerstall and Bruns out for Twente.
Verdict
Our pick is both teams to score at the best price of 1.62. It is the most likely single outcome on these numbers rather than a standout value price, so keep stakes sensible.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Twente vs FC Thun tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Twente +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| 1XTwente or Draw | 89% | 1.13 | 1.04 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| 1Twente to win | 74% | 1.35 | 1.18 |
| AH1 -1.5Twente -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 64% | 1.56 | 1.41 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 | 1.54 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.36 | 2.25 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.43 | 2.38 |
| AH2 +1.5FC Thun +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 36% | 2.78 | 2.53 |
| X2FC Thun or Draw | 26% | 3.84 | 5.50 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 22% | 4.53 | 4.05 |
| XDraw | 15% | 6.83 | 9.30 |
| 2FC Thun to win | 11% | 8.75 | 14.40 |
| AH2 -1.5FC Thun -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 47.69 | - |
Twente vs FC Thun odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.17 | 8.00 | 12.00 | - | - | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.16 | 9.30 | 14.40 | 1.17 | 4.05 | 1.59 | 2.21 |
| Dafabet | 1.18 | 8.60 | 13.00 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 9.00 | 11.00 | 1.22 | 4.20 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 8.10 | 12.50 | 1.17 | 4.05 | 1.59 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 1.14 | 8.00 | 13.00 | 1.20 | 4.00 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.14 | 8.00 | 13.00 | 1.18 | 4.40 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17 | 8.69 | 12.78 | 1.20 | 4.63 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.16 | 7.14 | 10.12 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.19 | 8.75 | 14.00 | 1.23 | 4.25 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Recent form
- 10 OctAFortuna Sittard1-1
- 2 OctHWerder Bremen7-0
- 20 SeptHPSV Eindhoven3-2
- 12 SeptHADO Den Haag2-0
- 9 SeptHTelstar1-0
- 10 OctAFC Zurich2-4
- 3 OctHSC Kriens2-0
- 20 SeptAFC Vaduz2-1
- 16 SeptHServette FC2-4
- 12 SeptHGrasshoppers0-1
Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Twente vs FC Thun: FAQ
What is the Twente vs FC Thun prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.62. Our predicted score is Twente 3-0 FC Thun.
Who is the favourite to win Twente vs FC Thun?
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Twente are favourites. Our model gives Twente a 74% chance of winning, FC Thun 11%, and the draw 15%.
Will both teams score in Twente vs FC Thun?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Twente vs FC Thun kick off?
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Twente vs FC Thun kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at De Grolsch Veste, Enschede.