Liga MX· Apertura - 13· Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca
Club Tijuana22 Oct
Toluca vs Club Tijuana Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
2.4 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Toluca vs Club Tijuana tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Toluca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XToluca or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Club Tijuana +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| X2Club Tijuana or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1Toluca to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Toluca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.13 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 2Club Tijuana to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Club Tijuana -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.74 | - |
Toluca vs Club Tijuana preview & analysis
Match preview
Toluca host Club Tijuana in the Liga MX (Apertura - 13) at Estadio Nemesio Diez on Thursday, 22 October 2026, with kick-off at 01:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Toluca are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Most recently they lost to Tigres UANL 2-3 away. They're 2nd in the table with 20 points from 11 games. Club Tijuana arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with FC Juarez 1-1 away. They're 8th in the table with 15 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Toluca have won 4, Club Tijuana have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Toluca narrow favourites: Toluca 44%, draw 38%, Club Tijuana 18%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.4 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Toluca 2-1 Club Tijuana.
Recent form
Toluca- 10 OctATigres UANL2-3
- 4 OctAMonterrey1-2
- 26 SeptACruz Azul3-3
- 21 SeptHSantos Laguna2-3
- 16 SeptAPuebla1-0
Club Tijuana- 11 OctAFC Juarez1-1
- 26 SeptHAtlas2-3
- 21 SeptACF Pachuca2-2
- 12 SeptHClub Queretaro0-1
- 29 AugHU.N.A.M. - Pumas2-0
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Club Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Toluca vs Club Tijuana: FAQ
What is the Toluca vs Club Tijuana prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Toluca 2-1 Club Tijuana.
Who is the favourite to win Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
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Toluca are favourites. Our model gives Toluca a 44% chance of winning, Club Tijuana 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
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We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Toluca vs Club Tijuana kick off?
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Toluca vs Club Tijuana kicks off at 01:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca.
