Liga MX· Apertura - 13· Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Puebla
Monterrey22 Oct
Puebla vs Monterrey Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.48
Expected goals
0.8 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Puebla vs Monterrey tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Monterrey +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Puebla +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 81% | 1.24 | - |
| X2Monterrey or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 61% | 1.63 | - |
| 1XPuebla or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| 2Monterrey to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 39% | 2.58 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| 1Puebla to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Monterrey -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 19% | 5.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 7.00 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Puebla -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.37 | - |
Puebla vs Monterrey preview & analysis
Match preview
Puebla host Monterrey in the Liga MX (Apertura - 13) at Estadio Cuauhtémoc on Thursday, 22 October 2026, with kick-off at 01:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Puebla arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Leon 1-1 at home. They're 9th in the table with 15 points from 11 games. Monterrey arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Club America 1-1 away. They're 10th in the table with 14 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Puebla have won 0, Monterrey have won 4 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Monterrey narrow favourites: Puebla 23%, draw 38%, Monterrey 39%. We expect around 2.0 goals (0.8 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 32% for over 2.5 and 39% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Puebla 0-1 Monterrey.
Recent form
Puebla- 10 OctHLeon1-1
- 27 SeptATigres UANL0-1
- 19 SeptHAtlante FC1-1
- 16 SeptHToluca0-1
- 12 SeptANecaxa1-0
Monterrey- 11 OctAClub America1-1
- 4 OctHToluca2-1
- 26 SeptAAtlante FC2-4
- 20 SeptHCruz Azul1-0
- 13 SeptHTigres UANL0-0
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Club Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Puebla vs Monterrey: FAQ
What is the Puebla vs Monterrey prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Puebla 0-1 Monterrey.
Who is the favourite to win Puebla vs Monterrey?
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Monterrey are favourites. Our model gives Puebla a 23% chance of winning, Monterrey 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Puebla vs Monterrey?
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We rate both teams to score at 39%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Puebla vs Monterrey kick off?
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Puebla vs Monterrey kicks off at 01:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla.
