Europa League· League Stage - 3· Stadion Poznan
Lech Poznan
Sunderland22 Oct
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.51
Expected goals
1.4 - 2.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Lech Poznan vs Sunderland tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Sunderland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Sunderland or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Lech Poznan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.43 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| 1XLech Poznan or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | - |
| 2Sunderland to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.86 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.94 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sunderland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.30 | - |
| 1Lech Poznan to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Lech Poznan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.67 | - |
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland preview & analysis
Match preview
Lech Poznan host Sunderland in the Europa League (League Stage - 3) at Stadion Poznan on Thursday, 22 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Lech Poznan arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Bayer Leverkusen 0-4 at home. They're 36th in the table with 0 points from 2 games. Sunderland are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Most recently they beat Torreense 2-1 away. They're 9th in the table with 6 points from 2 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sunderland narrow favourites: Lech Poznan 23%, draw 38%, Sunderland 39%. We expect around 3.4 goals (1.4 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 66% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 66% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Lech Poznan 1-2 Sunderland.
Recent form
Lech Poznan- 15 OctHBayer Leverkusen0-4
- 10 OctASlask Wroclaw4-1
- 3 OctHEnergie Cottbus2-2
- 20 SeptHRadomiak Radom5-1
- 17 SeptACrystal Palace0-4
Sunderland- 15 OctATorreense2-1
- 10 OctHBrighton0-2
- 20 SeptAManchester City3-5
- 16 SeptHAZ Alkmaar1-0
- 12 SeptHArsenal0-2
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Sparta Praha | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 34 |  Ararat-Armenia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celje | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 |
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland: FAQ
What is the Lech Poznan vs Sunderland prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Lech Poznan 1-2 Sunderland.
Who is the favourite to win Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
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Sunderland are favourites. Our model gives Lech Poznan a 23% chance of winning, Sunderland 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
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We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Lech Poznan vs Sunderland kick off?
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Lech Poznan vs Sunderland kicks off at 16:45 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Stadion Poznan.
