Liga MX· Apertura - 13· Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
CF Pachuca
Cruz Azul22 Oct
CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.40
Expected goals
1.5 - 2.2
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Cruz Azul +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Cruz Azul or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| AH1 +1.5CF Pachuca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| 1XCF Pachuca or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| 2Cruz Azul to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Cruz Azul -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.11 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 1CF Pachuca to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5CF Pachuca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.33 | - |
CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul preview & analysis
Match preview
CF Pachuca host Cruz Azul in the Liga MX (Apertura - 13) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo on Thursday, 22 October 2026, with kick-off at 03:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
CF Pachuca arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Necaxa 3-3 at home. They're 11th in the table with 13 points from 11 games. Cruz Azul arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Most recently they drew with U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-3 away. They're 7th in the table with 17 points from 11 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, CF Pachuca have won 3, Cruz Azul have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Cruz Azul narrow favourites: CF Pachuca 23%, draw 38%, Cruz Azul 39%. We expect around 3.7 goals (1.5 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 71% for over 2.5 and 69% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 71% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is CF Pachuca 1-2 Cruz Azul.
Recent form
CF Pachuca- 12 OctHNecaxa3-3
- 27 SeptASantos Laguna0-1
- 21 SeptHClub Tijuana2-2
- 12 SeptAAtlante FC3-0
- 5 SeptAFC Juarez2-0
Cruz Azul- 12 OctAU.N.A.M. - Pumas3-3
- 2 OctAClub America0-0
- 26 SeptHToluca3-3
- 20 SeptAMonterrey0-1
- 17 SeptAInter Miami0-2
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul: FAQ
What is the CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is CF Pachuca 1-2 Cruz Azul.
Who is the favourite to win CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul?
+
Cruz Azul are favourites. Our model gives CF Pachuca a 23% chance of winning, Cruz Azul 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul?
+
We rate both teams to score at 69%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul kick off?
+
CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul kicks off at 03:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto.
