Europa League· League Stage - 3· Stadion Maksimir
Dinamo Zagreb
NEC Nijmegen22 Oct
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Dinamo Zagreb +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XDinamo Zagreb or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5NEC Nijmegen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2NEC Nijmegen or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Dinamo Zagreb to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Dinamo Zagreb -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2NEC Nijmegen to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5NEC Nijmegen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen preview & analysis
Match preview
Dinamo Zagreb host NEC Nijmegen in the Europa League (League Stage - 3) at Stadion Maksimir on Thursday, 22 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Dinamo Zagreb arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Anderlecht 1-0 at home. They're 14th in the table with 4 points from 2 games. NEC Nijmegen arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Most recently they drew with Levski Sofia 1-1 at home. They're 27th in the table with 1 point from 2 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Dinamo Zagreb narrow favourites: Dinamo Zagreb 44%, draw 38%, NEC Nijmegen 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 NEC Nijmegen.
Recent form
Dinamo Zagreb- 15 OctHAnderlecht1-0
- 10 OctAHNK Hajduk Split1-2
- 4 OctAVukovar4-0
- 20 SeptHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb3-2
- 16 SeptAHapoel Beer Sheva0-0
NEC Nijmegen- 15 OctHLevski Sofia1-1
- 10 OctAAjax1-1
- 20 SeptHGO Ahead Eagles1-1
- 17 SeptAJuventus0-5
- 12 SeptACambuur0-3
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Union St. Gilloise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 14 | Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 16 |  AC Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 25 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 |  Sturm Graz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 27 | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1 |
| 28 |  Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 |  Anderlecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: FAQ
What is the Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 NEC Nijmegen.
Who is the favourite to win Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
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Dinamo Zagreb are favourites. Our model gives Dinamo Zagreb a 44% chance of winning, NEC Nijmegen 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen kick off?
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Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen kicks off at 16:45 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb.
