EFL Cup· Round of 16· Stadium of Light
Sunderland
Brentford28 Oct
Sunderland vs Brentford Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Brentford or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
More Sunderland vs Brentford tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Brentford +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.17 | 1.15 |
| AH1 +1.5Sunderland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.24 | 1.15 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | 1.37 |
| 1XSunderland or Draw | 62% | 1.60 | 1.48 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.80 | 1.66 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 | 1.95 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.25 | 2.12 |
| 2Brentford to win | 38% | 2.67 | 2.65 |
| 1Sunderland to win | 32% | 3.12 | 2.65 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.29 | 3.40 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.31 | 3.00 |
| AH2 -1.5Brentford -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 5.10 | 5.00 |
| AH1 -1.5Sunderland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.89 | 5.00 |
Sunderland vs Brentford odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.65 | 3.40 | 2.65 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.66 | 2.12 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Sunderland vs Brentford preview & analysis
Match preview
Sunderland host Brentford in the EFL Cup (Round of 16) at Stadium of Light on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sunderland are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Most recently they beat Torreense 2-1 away. Brentford arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Aston Villa 2-2 away.
Head to head
In the last 5 meetings between these sides, Sunderland have won 1, Brentford have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Brentford narrow favourites: Sunderland 32%, draw 30%, Brentford 38%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.3 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Brentford should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw. Our pick is Brentford or Draw at 1.48, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sunderland 0-1 Brentford.
Recent form
Sunderland- 15 OctATorreense2-1
- 10 OctHBrighton0-2
- 20 SeptAManchester City3-5
- 16 SeptHAZ Alkmaar1-0
- 12 SeptHArsenal0-2
Brentford- 10 OctAAston Villa2-2
- 18 SeptHChelsea3-0
- 15 SeptAReading2-1
- 12 SeptABournemouth2-2
- 5 SeptHSunderland1-1
Head to head
Sunderland vs Brentford: FAQ
What is the Sunderland vs Brentford prediction?
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Our tip is Brentford or Draw at odds of 1.48. Our predicted score is Sunderland 0-1 Brentford.
Who is the favourite to win Sunderland vs Brentford?
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Brentford are favourites. Our model gives Sunderland a 32% chance of winning, Brentford 38%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Brentford?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Sunderland vs Brentford kick off?
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Sunderland vs Brentford kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Stadium of Light, Sunderland.
