Serie A· Regular Season - 9
Monza
Napoli28 Oct
Monza vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
1.3 - 2.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Monza vs Napoli tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Napoli +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Napoli or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Monza +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.57 | - |
| 1XMonza or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| 2Napoli to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.74 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Napoli -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| 1Monza to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Monza -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.80 | - |
Monza vs Napoli preview & analysis
Match preview
Monza host Napoli in the Serie A (Regular Season - 9) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Monza are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Lazio 1-3 away. They're 16th in the table with 4 points from 6 games. Napoli arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Villarreal 1-3 away. They're 8th in the table with 10 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Monza have won 1, Napoli have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Napoli narrow favourites: Monza 23%, draw 38%, Napoli 39%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.3 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 64% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Monza 1-2 Napoli.
Recent form
Monza- 11 OctALazio1-3
- 3 OctAStade Brestois 292-2
- 26 SeptHCremonese2-3
- 18 SeptHSassuolo2-1
- 13 SeptALecce2-3
Napoli- 13 OctAVillarreal1-3
- 10 OctHFrosinone3-0
- 20 SeptAFiorentina1-1
- 13 SeptHBologna1-0
- 9 SeptHArsenal0-1
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
Monza vs Napoli: FAQ
What is the Monza vs Napoli prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Monza 1-2 Napoli.
Who is the favourite to win Monza vs Napoli?
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Napoli are favourites. Our model gives Monza a 23% chance of winning, Napoli 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Monza vs Napoli?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Monza vs Napoli kick off?
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Monza vs Napoli kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.