Serie A· Regular Season - 9
AC Milan
Bologna28 Oct
AC Milan vs Bologna Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams NOT to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.74
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.7
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More AC Milan vs Bologna tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5AC Milan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| 1XAC Milan or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Bologna +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| X2Bologna or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| 1AC Milan to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.35 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5AC Milan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.05 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| 2Bologna to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Bologna -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 21.03 | - |
AC Milan vs Bologna preview & analysis
Match preview
AC Milan host Bologna in the Serie A (Regular Season - 9) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, with kick-off at 17:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
AC Milan arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Red Bull Salzburg 4-0 away. They're 5th in the table with 12 points from 6 games. Bologna arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Lecce 2-1 away. They're 14th in the table with 5 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, AC Milan have won 3, Bologna have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes AC Milan favourites: AC Milan 47%, draw 41%, Bologna 12%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.7 - 0.7 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Our tip
At least one of these sides should struggle to score, so we're backing BTTS No. Our pick is Both teams NOT to score, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is AC Milan 1-0 Bologna.
Recent form
AC Milan- 15 OctARed Bull Salzburg4-0
- 11 OctASassuolo1-1
- 20 SeptHLecce3-0
- 16 SeptHBenfica0-2
- 12 SeptALazio2-2
Bologna- 11 OctALecce2-1
- 19 SeptHTorino1-1
- 13 SeptANapoli0-1
- 6 SeptHSassuolo2-2
- 31 AugAAtalanta0-1
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
AC Milan vs Bologna: FAQ
What is the AC Milan vs Bologna prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams NOT to score. Our predicted score is AC Milan 1-0 Bologna.
Who is the favourite to win AC Milan vs Bologna?
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AC Milan are favourites. Our model gives AC Milan a 47% chance of winning, Bologna 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in AC Milan vs Bologna?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does AC Milan vs Bologna kick off?
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AC Milan vs Bologna kicks off at 17:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.