EFL Cup· Round of 16· Etihad Stadium
Manchester City
Brighton28 Oct
Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
2.4 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Manchester City vs Brighton tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Manchester City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XManchester City or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Brighton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| X2Brighton or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1Manchester City to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Manchester City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.13 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 2Brighton to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Brighton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.74 | - |
Manchester City vs Brighton preview & analysis
Match preview
Manchester City host Brighton in the EFL Cup (Round of 16) at Etihad Stadium on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Manchester City arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Paris Saint Germain 2-4 at home. Brighton arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Kauno Žalgiris 4-0 at home.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Manchester City have won 2, Brighton have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Manchester City narrow favourites: Manchester City 44%, draw 38%, Brighton 18%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.4 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Manchester City 2-1 Brighton.
Recent form
Manchester City- 14 OctHParis Saint Germain2-4
- 11 OctALiverpool3-0
- 20 SeptHSunderland5-3
- 17 SeptHNorwich5-0
- 13 SeptAManchester United1-0
Brighton- 15 OctHKauno Žalgiris4-0
- 10 OctASunderland2-0
- 19 SeptHArsenal3-0
- 16 SeptAManchester United3-2
- 13 SeptACoventry5-0
Head to head
Manchester City vs Brighton: FAQ
What is the Manchester City vs Brighton prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Manchester City 2-1 Brighton.
Who is the favourite to win Manchester City vs Brighton?
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Manchester City are favourites. Our model gives Manchester City a 44% chance of winning, Brighton 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Brighton?
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We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Manchester City vs Brighton kick off?
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Manchester City vs Brighton kicks off at 19:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Etihad Stadium, Manchester.
