EFL Cup· Round of 16· Anfield
Liverpool
Chelsea28 Oct
Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Chelsea or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.58
Expected goals
1.5 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
More Liverpool vs Chelsea tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Liverpool +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.21 | 1.13 |
| AH2 +1.5Chelsea +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 81% | 1.23 | 1.21 |
| 1XLiverpool or Draw | 65% | 1.54 | 1.41 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | 1.45 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.69 | 1.57 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | 1.69 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | 2.17 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.44 | 2.28 |
| 1Liverpool to win | 37% | 2.74 | 2.32 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.82 | 2.65 |
| 2Chelsea to win | 35% | 2.86 | 2.89 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.51 | 3.70 |
| AH1 -1.5Liverpool -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 19% | 5.35 | 4.10 |
| AH2 -1.5Chelsea -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 5.85 | 5.50 |
Liverpool vs Chelsea odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.70 | 2.89 | 1.69 | 2.17 | 1.57 | 2.28 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.90 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.63 | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Liverpool vs Chelsea preview & analysis
Match preview
Liverpool host Chelsea in the EFL Cup (Round of 16) at Anfield on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Liverpool arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Lask Linz 6-3 away. Chelsea arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Most recently they beat Bournemouth 5-1 at home.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Liverpool have won 3, Chelsea have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Liverpool narrow favourites: Liverpool 37%, draw 29%, Chelsea 35%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.5 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 56% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Chelsea should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw. Our pick is Chelsea or Draw at 1.62, which our model rates at a 63% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea.
Recent form
Liverpool- 14 OctALask Linz6-3
- 11 OctHManchester City0-3
- 20 SeptABournemouth1-0
- 15 SeptHTottenham3-1
- 12 SeptHFulham0-0
Chelsea- 10 OctHBournemouth5-1
- 18 SeptABrentford0-3
- 12 SeptHHull City2-2
- 9 SeptHLeeds6-3
- 6 SeptAArsenal1-2
Head to head
Liverpool vs Chelsea: FAQ
What is the Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction?
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Our tip is Chelsea or Draw at odds of 1.62. Our predicted score is Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea.
Who is the favourite to win Liverpool vs Chelsea?
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Liverpool are favourites. Our model gives Liverpool a 37% chance of winning, Chelsea 35%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Chelsea?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Liverpool vs Chelsea kick off?
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Liverpool vs Chelsea kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Anfield, Liverpool.
