La Liga· Regular Season - 8· Santiago Bernabéu Stadium
Real Madrid
Villarreal1-0
FT
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
Get notified
Kick-off reminders with our tip, final results and new expert analyses, straight to your browser.
Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Real Madrid vs Villarreal tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Real Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| 1XReal Madrid or Draw | 87% | 1.15 | 1.12 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 74% | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| 1Real Madrid to win | 66% | 1.51 | 1.41 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.56 | 1.47 |
| AH1 -1.5Real Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 62% | 1.62 | 1.91 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | 1.75 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | 2.25 |
| AH2 +1.5Villarreal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 38% | 2.62 | 2.03 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.79 | 2.62 |
| X2Villarreal or Draw | 34% | 2.98 | 3.15 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 26% | 3.91 | 3.62 |
| XDraw | 21% | 4.78 | 6.00 |
| 2Villarreal to win | 13% | 7.89 | 7.21 |
| AH2 -1.5Villarreal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 46.92 | - |
Real Madrid vs Villarreal odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.36 | 5.00 | 6.50 | - | - | 1.44 | 2.62 |
| 1xBet | 1.41 | 5.94 | 7.21 | 1.25 | 3.62 | 1.47 | 2.53 |
| Dafabet | 1.37 | 6.00 | 7.00 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 6.00 | 7.50 | 1.25 | 4.00 | 1.44 | 2.62 |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 5.85 | 7.10 | 1.25 | 3.62 | 1.47 | 2.49 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.50 | 1.22 | 3.80 | 1.44 | 2.63 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 5.75 | 7.50 | 1.27 | 3.30 | 1.40 | 2.63 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37 | 5.80 | 7.65 | - | - | - | - |
| SBO | 1.33 | 5.80 | 6.86 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.38 | 5.70 | 8.00 | 1.29 | 3.65 | 1.45 | 2.62 |
Real Madrid vs Villarreal preview & analysis
Match preview
Real Madrid host Villarreal in the La Liga (Regular Season - 8) at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Real Madrid arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Atletico Madrid 1-2 away. They're 4th in the table with 18 points from 8 games. Villarreal arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Levante 3-1 at home. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Real Madrid have won 5, Villarreal have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 4.0 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Real Madrid clear favourites: Real Madrid 66%, draw 21%, Villarreal 13%. We expect around 3.9 goals (3.0 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 74% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Real Madrid- 20 SeptAAtletico Madrid1-2
- 15 SeptAElche3-2
- 12 SeptHRayo Vallecano4-1
- 8 SeptHInter2-1
- 4 SeptAReal Betis0-1
Villarreal- 20 SeptHLevante3-1
- 17 SeptAMalaga3-1
- 14 SeptHReal Betis1-2
- 8 SeptABorussia Dortmund2-3
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Real Madrid vs Villarreal: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
+
Real Madrid are favourites. Our model gives Real Madrid a 66% chance of winning, Villarreal 13%, and the draw 21%.
Will both teams score in Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
+
We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Real Madrid vs Villarreal kick off?
+
Real Madrid vs Villarreal kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid.
