Liga MX· Apertura - 11· Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Puebla
Leon1-1
FT
Puebla vs Leon Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Puebla vs Leon tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Leon +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | 1.08 |
| AH1 +1.5Puebla +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.29 | 1.14 |
| X2Leon or Draw | 71% | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | 1.30 |
| 1XPuebla or Draw | 60% | 1.67 | 1.53 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.81 | 1.67 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 | 1.86 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 | 1.87 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.24 | 2.09 |
| 2Leon to win | 40% | 2.49 | 2.43 |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.38 | 2.97 |
| 1Puebla to win | 29% | 3.45 | 2.90 |
| AH2 -1.5Leon -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.49 | 4.33 |
| AH1 -1.5Puebla -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.29 | 5.55 |
Puebla vs Leon odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.30 | - | - | 1.67 | 2.05 |
| 1xBet | 2.88 | 3.24 | 2.36 | 1.86 | 1.87 | 1.66 | 2.09 |
| Dafabet | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.43 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.38 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.85 | 3.24 | 2.34 | 1.86 | 1.87 | 1.66 | 2.06 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.84 | 1.83 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.07 | 3.40 | 2.42 | 1.94 | 1.94 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.68 | 3.02 | 2.34 | 1.92 | 1.92 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.37 | 1.90 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
Puebla vs Leon preview & analysis
Match preview
Puebla host Leon in the Liga MX (Apertura - 11) at Estadio Cuauhtémoc on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 01:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Puebla are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Tigres UANL 0-1 away. They're 9th in the table with 15 points from 11 games. Leon arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat FC Juarez 2-1 at home. They're 5th in the table with 18 points from 11 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Puebla have won 2, Leon have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Leon narrow favourites: Puebla 29%, draw 31%, Leon 40%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.2 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 50% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Puebla- 27 SeptATigres UANL0-1
- 19 SeptHAtlante FC1-1
- 16 SeptHToluca0-1
- 12 SeptANecaxa1-0
- 30 AugAClub America0-2
Leon- 28 SeptHFC Juarez2-1
- 21 SeptAClub Queretaro1-1
- 15 SeptHAtletico San Luis2-0
- 11 SeptAU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-3
- 6 SeptHClub America1-0
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 | Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Puebla vs Leon: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Puebla vs Leon?
+
Leon are favourites. Our model gives Puebla a 29% chance of winning, Leon 40%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Puebla vs Leon?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Puebla vs Leon kick off?
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Puebla vs Leon kicks off at 01:00 UTC on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla.
