Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 8· Estádio do Marítimo
Maritimo
FC Porto1-2
FT
Maritimo vs FC Porto Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Maritimo vs FC Porto tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5FC Porto +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| X2FC Porto or Draw | 92% | 1.08 | 1.06 |
| 2FC Porto to win | 70% | 1.43 | 1.31 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 | 1.33 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | 1.83 |
| AH1 +1.5Maritimo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 51% | 1.96 | 1.90 |
| AH2 -1.5FC Porto -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 49% | 2.04 | 1.98 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 | 2.07 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.42 | 2.22 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.16 | 2.83 |
| 1XMaritimo or Draw | 30% | 3.30 | 3.76 |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.44 | 5.75 |
| 1Maritimo to win | 8% | 12.89 | 11.60 |
| AH1 -1.5Maritimo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 46.57 | - |
Maritimo vs FC Porto odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 10.00 | 5.00 | 1.29 | - | - | 2.20 | 1.62 |
| 1xBet | 11.60 | 5.75 | 1.30 | 1.83 | 2.07 | 2.22 | 1.59 |
| Dafabet | 10.00 | 5.40 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 9.50 | 5.25 | 1.30 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 2.20 | 1.62 |
| Marathonbet | 10.50 | 5.20 | 1.27 | 1.76 | 1.99 | 2.22 | 1.57 |
| Betfair | 10.50 | 5.50 | 1.25 | 1.80 | 1.95 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| BetVictor | 10.50 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 1.74 | 1.94 | 2.25 | 1.57 |
| Pinnacle | 11.31 | 5.88 | 1.28 | 1.84 | 2.06 | - | - |
| SBO | 8.87 | 4.84 | 1.28 | 1.84 | 2.00 | - | - |
| Betano | 10.75 | 5.50 | 1.33 | 1.80 | 2.05 | 2.25 | 1.60 |
Maritimo vs FC Porto preview & analysis
Match preview
Maritimo host FC Porto in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 8) at Estádio do Marítimo on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Maritimo are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Most recently they drew with GIL Vicente 1-1 away. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 8 games. FC Porto arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 away. They're 1st in the table with 24 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Maritimo have won 1, FC Porto have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Porto clear favourites: Maritimo 8%, draw 23%, FC Porto 70%. We expect around 2.8 goals (0.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Maritimo- 19 SeptAGIL Vicente1-1
- 14 SeptAMoreirense1-3
- 5 SeptHBenfica0-3
- 29 AugAArouca1-2
- 22 AugHAcademico Viseu2-2
FC Porto- 2 OctADeportivo La Coruna3-1
- 20 SeptHBenfica3-1
- 12 SeptACasa Pia4-1
- 8 SeptHManchester City0-2
- 4 SeptHMoreirense2-1
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Maritimo vs FC Porto: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Maritimo vs FC Porto?
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FC Porto are favourites. Our model gives Maritimo a 8% chance of winning, FC Porto 70%, and the draw 23%.
Will both teams score in Maritimo vs FC Porto?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Maritimo vs FC Porto kick off?
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Maritimo vs FC Porto kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Estádio do Marítimo, Funchal.
