Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 8· Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Casa Pia
Santa Clara0-1
FT
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Kick-off
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More Casa Pia vs Santa Clara tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Santa Clara +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | 1.01 |
| X2Santa Clara or Draw | 78% | 1.28 | 1.29 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | 1.17 |
| AH1 +1.5Casa Pia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.37 | 1.18 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| 1XCasa Pia or Draw | 54% | 1.85 | 1.79 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 52% | 1.94 | 1.80 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 48% | 2.06 | 1.93 |
| 2Santa Clara to win | 46% | 2.17 | 2.14 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.34 | 2.27 |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.10 | 3.44 |
| AH2 -1.5Santa Clara -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.72 | 3.92 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 4.39 | 4.00 |
| 1Casa Pia to win | 22% | 4.61 | 3.80 |
| AH1 -1.5Casa Pia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.09 | 8.90 |
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.20 | 2.00 | - | - | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| 1xBet | 3.80 | 3.44 | 2.10 | 2.27 | 1.69 | 1.93 | 1.78 |
| Dafabet | 3.70 | 3.30 | 2.14 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 3.70 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 3.64 | 3.30 | 2.01 | 2.19 | 1.63 | 1.93 | 1.76 |
| Betfair | 3.90 | 3.10 | 2.05 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 1.87 | 1.87 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.00 | 2.12 | 1.62 | 1.91 | 1.78 |
| Pinnacle | 3.87 | 3.24 | 2.14 | 2.29 | 1.68 | - | - |
| SBO | 3.32 | 3.04 | 2.08 | 2.20 | 1.67 | - | - |
| Betano | 3.80 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 2.25 | 1.67 | 1.90 | 1.83 |
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara preview & analysis
Match preview
Casa Pia host Santa Clara in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 8) at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Casa Pia are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat Estoril 2-1 away. They're 17th in the table with 4 points from 8 games. Santa Clara arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 2. Most recently they drew with SC Braga 0-0 at home. They're 4th in the table with 18 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Casa Pia have won 1, Santa Clara have won 3 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Santa Clara favourites: Casa Pia 22%, draw 32%, Santa Clara 46%. We expect around 2.4 goals (0.9 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 48% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Casa Pia- 20 SeptAEstoril2-1
- 12 SeptHFC Porto1-4
- 6 SeptAVitória SC0-0
- 30 AugHMoreirense0-1
- 24 AugAGIL Vicente0-2
Santa Clara- 20 SeptHSC Braga0-0
- 13 SeptAArouca2-1
- 6 SeptHRio Ave4-0
- 29 AugAAlverca1-1
- 23 AugHFamalicao1-0
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
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Santa Clara are favourites. Our model gives Casa Pia a 22% chance of winning, Santa Clara 46%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
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We rate both teams to score at 48%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Casa Pia vs Santa Clara kick off?
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Casa Pia vs Santa Clara kicks off at 19:30 UTC on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior.
