J1 League· Regular Season - 10· Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
Kashiwa Reysol
Nagoya Grampus17 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
2.2 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
More Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Kashiwa Reysol +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 96% | 1.05 | 1.02 |
| 1XKashiwa Reysol or Draw | 82% | 1.22 | 1.17 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 | 1.48 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 57% | 1.74 | 1.62 |
| 1Kashiwa Reysol to win | 56% | 1.77 | 1.64 |
| AH2 +1.5Nagoya Grampus +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 56% | 1.78 | 1.52 |
| AH1 -1.5Kashiwa Reysol -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 44% | 2.29 | 2.57 |
| X2Nagoya Grampus or Draw | 44% | 2.29 | 2.29 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.35 | 2.20 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | 2.36 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.58 | 2.33 |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.88 | 4.40 |
| 2Nagoya Grampus to win | 18% | 5.62 | 5.03 |
| AH2 -1.5Nagoya Grampus -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 4% | 22.97 | 9.30 |
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.75 | - | - | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 4.31 | 5.03 | 1.60 | 2.36 | 1.61 | 2.18 |
| Dafabet | 1.64 | 4.40 | 5.00 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 4.20 | 4.90 | 1.57 | 2.31 | 1.61 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.33 | 5.00 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 4.20 | 5.25 | 1.56 | 2.23 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 4.32 | 4.88 | 1.60 | 2.38 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.57 | 3.80 | 4.44 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.60 | 4.15 | 4.80 | 1.60 | 2.32 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus preview & analysis
Match preview
Kashiwa Reysol host Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League (Regular Season - 10) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 10:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Kashiwa Reysol arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 9. Most recently they beat Port FC 5-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 21 points from 9 games. Nagoya Grampus arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they drew with Fagiano Okayama 3-3 at home. They're 15th in the table with 9 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Kashiwa Reysol have won 2, Nagoya Grampus have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Kashiwa Reysol favourites: Kashiwa Reysol 56%, draw 26%, Nagoya Grampus 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.2 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.60, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 Nagoya Grampus.
Recent form
Kashiwa Reysol- 14 OctHPort FC5-1
- 9 OctHVissel Kobe4-2
- 3 OctHGamba Osaka5-4
- 23 SeptHImabari4-0
- 20 SeptAMachida Zelvia4-2
Nagoya Grampus- 14 OctHFagiano Okayama3-3
- 11 OctAKawasaki Frontale2-1
- 29 SeptAKitakyushu3-1
- 19 SeptAFC Tokyo0-1
- 12 SeptAV-varen Nagasaki0-2
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus: FAQ
What is the Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.60. Our predicted score is Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 Nagoya Grampus.
Who is the favourite to win Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
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Kashiwa Reysol are favourites. Our model gives Kashiwa Reysol a 56% chance of winning, Nagoya Grampus 18%, and the draw 26%.
Will both teams score in Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus kick off?
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Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus kicks off at 10:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa City.
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