Championship· Regular Season - 11· Turf Moor
Burnley
Wolves16 Oct
Burnley vs Wolves Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 16 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.5
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Expert analysis
Burnley vs Wolves: Both Teams to Score at 1.65
Analysis by Marcus Hale
English football, Champions League & Europa League ·
Burnley's recent matches have regularly featured goals at both ends, while Wolves arrive with a less convincing attacking record and consecutive league defeats. Both Teams to Score is the recommended pick at best odds of 1.65, supported by a 57% model probability, although Wolves' scoring struggles remain the principal concern.
Form and Context
Burnley have shown greater attacking output recently, but their defensive record leaves room for Wolves to contribute.
- Burnley recorded 9 goals across their last five games, with BTTS landing in 4 of 5.
- Their recent results include a 4-0 win at Watford and a 2-2 draw against Charlton.
- Wolves scored 3 goals across their last five matches, winning twice and losing three times.
- Wolves sit 10th with 14 points from 9 matches, while Burnley are 21st with 8 points from 10.
Team News
Several absences could influence the attacking balance, with confirmed availability updates providing the clearest guide ahead of kick-off.
- According to Burnley's official press conference, Anel Ahmedhodzic is ruled out following a concussion against Charlton.
- Burnley head coach Nicky Hayen confirmed Josh Cullen and Jaydon Banel are unavailable for Friday's match.
- Wolves head coach Cesar Peixoto confirmed Adam Armstrong is out with a back issue, while Raul Jimenez is unavailable with a knee injury.
- Wolves also have Rodrigo Gomes and Bertrand Traore unavailable, with Boubacar Traore remaining absent, according to the club's official preview.
Key Matchup
The case for goals at both ends rests on Burnley's attacking consistency and the possibility that Wolves find a response despite their recent setbacks.
- Burnley's four BTTS results in five games provide the strongest recent evidence supporting the selection.
- Wolves lost 1-0 to Middlesbrough before a 3-1 defeat to Bolton, highlighting their inconsistent performances.
- The expected-goals figures are 1.29 for Burnley and 1.48 for Wolves, suggesting opportunities at both ends.
- The most likely model score is 0-1, a reminder that the BTTS selection is not the same as predicting a high-scoring contest.
The Numbers
The model favours both sides scoring, making this a probability-led selection rather than a search for an unusually generous price.
- Both Teams to Score: 57% model probability, the highest probability among the supplied goal-market outcomes.
- Best available odds are 1.65, against fair odds of 1.76.
- The model gives 52% to Over 2.5 Goals, making BTTS the stronger of the two supplied goal-market probabilities.
- The main risk is Wolves' modest recent output: they scored in just one of their last five matches when assessed against the BTTS record.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Burnley have recorded BTTS in four of their last five matches, giving the selection a solid recent foundation.
- 2The model assigns 57% probability to both teams scoring, making it the preferred outcome on the supplied numbers.
- 3Expected goals of 1.29 for Burnley and 1.48 for Wolves support the possibility of contributions from both attacks.
Verdict
The pick is Both Teams to Score at best odds of 1.65, a measured, probability-led choice rather than a big-value play. Wolves' recent scoring record is the main concern, so the selection carries a meaningful risk despite Burnley's encouraging BTTS trend.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Burnley vs Wolves tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Wolves +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| AH1 +1.5Burnley +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.25 | 1.15 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | 1.32 |
| X2Wolves or Draw | 67% | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| 1XBurnley or Draw | 61% | 1.64 | 1.57 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 | 1.79 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 | 1.95 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.32 | 2.16 |
| 2Wolves to win | 39% | 2.57 | 2.35 |
| 1Burnley to win | 33% | 3.07 | 3.00 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.20 | 2.88 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.51 | 3.55 |
| AH2 -1.5Wolves -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 4.92 | 4.30 |
| AH1 -1.5Burnley -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 7.02 | 5.75 |
Burnley vs Wolves odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.25 | - | - | 1.65 | 2.15 |
| 1xBet | 2.86 | 3.48 | 2.31 | 1.79 | 1.95 | 1.62 | 2.16 |
| Dafabet | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.35 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.85 | 3.48 | 2.29 | 1.79 | 1.95 | 1.62 | 2.13 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.77 | 1.90 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.01 | 3.57 | 2.29 | 1.83 | 2.03 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.64 | 3.04 | 2.26 | 1.84 | 1.98 | - | - |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.45 | 2.35 | 1.83 | 2.02 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Recent form
Burnley- 13 OctHCharlton2-2
- 10 OctAWatford4-0
- 19 SeptHDerby1-1
- 12 SeptASwansea1-3
- 8 SeptAWrexham1-1
Wolves- 13 OctHBolton1-3
- 10 OctAMiddlesbrough0-1
- 20 SeptHWest Brom1-0
- 16 SeptAEverton0-1
- 13 SeptASheffield Utd1-0
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 8 |  Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 | Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 |  Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
Burnley vs Wolves: FAQ
What is the Burnley vs Wolves prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.65. Our predicted score is Burnley 0-1 Wolves.
Who is the favourite to win Burnley vs Wolves?
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Wolves are favourites. Our model gives Burnley a 33% chance of winning, Wolves 39%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in Burnley vs Wolves?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Burnley vs Wolves kick off?
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Burnley vs Wolves kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Friday, 16 October 2026 at Turf Moor, Burnley.
