Oh My Tip
Serie A· Regular Season - 7· PSC Arena
Frosinone logoFrosinone
LWWDW
Sassuolo logoSassuolo
DLWDD

16 Oct

Frosinone vs Sassuolo Prediction & Betting Tips

Friday, 16 October 2026 · Kick-off

Expert analysis · Diego Ferraz

Our prediction

Over 2.5 goals

High· 64%
1xBet1.47

18+ · T&Cs apply

Predicted score

2-1

Fair odds

1.55

Expected goals

1.7 - 1.6

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Expert analysis

Frosinone vs Sassuolo: Over 2.5 Goals the Tactical Play

Analysis by Diego Ferraz

LaLiga, Serie A & South America ·

Frosinone sit ninth with 10 points from six games. Sassuolo are 11th on eight points. Both sides show clear goal threat in recent form.

Form and Context

Frosinone have three wins, one draw and one loss in five games. They have scored eight goals and conceded seven. Over 2.5 goals in three of those. Sassuolo have one win, three draws and one loss. Eight goals scored, eight conceded. Over 2.5 goals in three. BTTS in five. Frosinone ended a four-game unbeaten run with a 3-0 loss to Napoli but bounced back with 2-1 over Benevento, 2-0 over Como, 1-1 draw at Genoa and 3-2 win over Venezia. Sassuolo drew 1-1 with AC Milan after 3-2 win over Juventus, lost 1-2 at Monza, drew 2-2 at Bologna and drew 1-1 at home with Frosinone. Momentum sits with both after strong results against top opposition.

Team News

Team news is provisional with two days until kickoff. Frosinone missing Birligea with muscle injury and Grillitsch with thigh injury. Sassuolo missing Boloca with muscle injury, Idzes with muscle injury, Kone with broken leg, Paz with knee injury, Pieragnolo with knee injury. Leysen questionable after ACL lesion. No suspensions reported in latest projections.

Key Matchup and Momentum

Head to head shows high-scoring games including 4-2 and 1-1. Frosinone are at home after loss and need immediate response. Sassuolo have only one point from three away games. According to La Gazzetta dello Sport previews, Frosinone shape is 4-2-3-1 while Sassuolo are in 4-3-3. Midfield duels and attacking threats will shape the game. Frosinone highlight Raimondo and Kvernadze. Sassuolo seek first away win of season.

The Numbers

Expected goals stand at 1.70 for Frosinone and 1.60 for Sassuolo. Most likely score is 2-1. Over 2.5 goals sit at 64% probability in model. BTTS in 67%. Frosinone scored eight goals in six games. Sassuolo scored eight in six.

Three reasons we like this tip

  1. 1Frosinone scored eight goals in five games with over 2.5 in three
  2. 2Sassuolo BTTS in five of five games
  3. 364% model probability for over 2.5 goals

Verdict

Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at 1.5 decimal odds. The main risk is a cagey defensive setup from either side limiting the final score.

We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.

Match probabilities

37%Frosinone
27%Draw
35%Sassuolo
Over 2.5 goals64%
Under 2.5 goals36%
Both teams to score67%
Clean sheet either side33%

More Frosinone vs Sassuolo tips

SelectionProbabilityFair oddsBest odds
AH1 +1.5Frosinone +1.5 (Asian Handicap)82%1.221.15
AH2 +1.5Sassuolo +1.5 (Asian Handicap)79%1.261.17
BTTS YesBoth teams to score67%1.491.40
1XFrosinone or Draw65%1.551.51
X2Sassuolo or Draw63%1.601.55
U3.5Under 3.5 goals56%1.801.75
O3.5Over 3.5 goals44%2.262.25
1Frosinone to win37%2.682.62
U2.5Under 2.5 goals36%2.802.53
2Sassuolo to win35%2.832.76
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score33%3.022.77
XDraw27%3.663.80
AH1 -1.5Frosinone -1.5 (Asian Handicap)21%4.864.33
AH2 -1.5Sassuolo -1.5 (Asian Handicap)18%5.464.70

Frosinone vs Sassuolo odds comparison

Best price in each market highlighted.

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5BTTSNo BTTS
William Hill2.453.402.60--1.402.75
1xBet2.623.682.761.472.531.402.77
Dafabet2.553.802.60----
Bet3652.503.752.601.442.751.402.75
Marathonbet2.583.622.721.472.531.402.72
Betfair2.603.702.631.442.701.363.00
BetVictor2.453.902.551.442.531.362.88
Pinnacle2.613.622.671.472.77--
SBO2.313.492.45----
Betano2.503.652.651.502.671.402.80

Recent form

Frosinone logoFrosinone
LWWDW
  • 10 OctANapoli0-3
  • 2 OctHBenevento2-1
  • 20 SeptHComo2-0
  • 12 SeptAGenoa1-1
  • 6 SeptHVenezia3-2
Sassuolo logoSassuolo
DLWDD
  • 11 OctHAC Milan1-1
  • 18 SeptAMonza1-2
  • 13 SeptHJuventus3-2
  • 6 SeptABologna2-2
  • 2 SeptHFrosinone1-1

Head to head

02/09/2026Sassuolo1-1Frosinone
13/05/2025Sassuolo0-1Frosinone
14/12/2024Frosinone1-2Sassuolo
09/03/2024Sassuolo1-0Frosinone
17/09/2023Frosinone4-2Sassuolo
05/05/2019Sassuolo2-2Frosinone

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter logoInter6510+1016
2Lazio logoLazio6510+716
3AS Roma logoAS Roma6420+1114
4Cagliari logoCagliari6411+313
5AC Milan logoAC Milan6330+612
6Juventus logoJuventus6321+411
7Como logoComo6321+311
8Napoli logoNapoli6312+410
9Frosinone logoFrosinone6312+210
10Atalanta logoAtalanta630309
11Sassuolo logoSassuolo622208
12Torino logoTorino6213-27
13Lecce logoLecce6204-66
14Bologna logoBologna6123-25
15Udinese logoUdinese6114-44
16Monza logoMonza6114-64
17Genoa logoGenoa6114-64
18Parma logoParma6114-64
19Fiorentina logoFiorentina6114-74
20Venezia logoVenezia6006-110

Frosinone vs Sassuolo: FAQ

What is the Frosinone vs Sassuolo prediction?

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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.47. Our predicted score is Frosinone 2-1 Sassuolo.

Who is the favourite to win Frosinone vs Sassuolo?

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Frosinone are favourites. Our model gives Frosinone a 37% chance of winning, Sassuolo 35%, and the draw 27%.

Will both teams score in Frosinone vs Sassuolo?

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We rate both teams to score at 67%, so BTTS Yes is likely.

When does Frosinone vs Sassuolo kick off?

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Frosinone vs Sassuolo kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Friday, 16 October 2026 at PSC Arena, Frosinone.

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