Frosinone
Sassuolo16 Oct
Frosinone vs Sassuolo Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 16 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.55
Expected goals
1.7 - 1.6
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Expert analysis
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: Over 2.5 Goals the Tactical Play
Analysis by Diego Ferraz
LaLiga, Serie A & South America ·
Frosinone sit ninth with 10 points from six games. Sassuolo are 11th on eight points. Both sides show clear goal threat in recent form.
Form and Context
Frosinone have three wins, one draw and one loss in five games. They have scored eight goals and conceded seven. Over 2.5 goals in three of those. Sassuolo have one win, three draws and one loss. Eight goals scored, eight conceded. Over 2.5 goals in three. BTTS in five. Frosinone ended a four-game unbeaten run with a 3-0 loss to Napoli but bounced back with 2-1 over Benevento, 2-0 over Como, 1-1 draw at Genoa and 3-2 win over Venezia. Sassuolo drew 1-1 with AC Milan after 3-2 win over Juventus, lost 1-2 at Monza, drew 2-2 at Bologna and drew 1-1 at home with Frosinone. Momentum sits with both after strong results against top opposition.
Team News
Team news is provisional with two days until kickoff. Frosinone missing Birligea with muscle injury and Grillitsch with thigh injury. Sassuolo missing Boloca with muscle injury, Idzes with muscle injury, Kone with broken leg, Paz with knee injury, Pieragnolo with knee injury. Leysen questionable after ACL lesion. No suspensions reported in latest projections.
Key Matchup and Momentum
Head to head shows high-scoring games including 4-2 and 1-1. Frosinone are at home after loss and need immediate response. Sassuolo have only one point from three away games. According to La Gazzetta dello Sport previews, Frosinone shape is 4-2-3-1 while Sassuolo are in 4-3-3. Midfield duels and attacking threats will shape the game. Frosinone highlight Raimondo and Kvernadze. Sassuolo seek first away win of season.
The Numbers
Expected goals stand at 1.70 for Frosinone and 1.60 for Sassuolo. Most likely score is 2-1. Over 2.5 goals sit at 64% probability in model. BTTS in 67%. Frosinone scored eight goals in six games. Sassuolo scored eight in six.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Frosinone scored eight goals in five games with over 2.5 in three
- 2Sassuolo BTTS in five of five games
- 364% model probability for over 2.5 goals
Verdict
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at 1.5 decimal odds. The main risk is a cagey defensive setup from either side limiting the final score.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Frosinone vs Sassuolo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Frosinone +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | 1.15 |
| AH2 +1.5Sassuolo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.26 | 1.17 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 67% | 1.49 | 1.40 |
| 1XFrosinone or Draw | 65% | 1.55 | 1.51 |
| X2Sassuolo or Draw | 63% | 1.60 | 1.55 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 | 1.75 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | 2.25 |
| 1Frosinone to win | 37% | 2.68 | 2.62 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.80 | 2.53 |
| 2Sassuolo to win | 35% | 2.83 | 2.76 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 33% | 3.02 | 2.77 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.66 | 3.80 |
| AH1 -1.5Frosinone -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.86 | 4.33 |
| AH2 -1.5Sassuolo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.46 | 4.70 |
Frosinone vs Sassuolo odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.60 | - | - | 1.40 | 2.75 |
| 1xBet | 2.62 | 3.68 | 2.76 | 1.47 | 2.53 | 1.40 | 2.77 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.80 | 2.60 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.75 | 2.60 | 1.44 | 2.75 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.58 | 3.62 | 2.72 | 1.47 | 2.53 | 1.40 | 2.72 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.70 | 2.63 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.36 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.90 | 2.55 | 1.44 | 2.53 | 1.36 | 2.88 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61 | 3.62 | 2.67 | 1.47 | 2.77 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.31 | 3.49 | 2.45 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 2.50 | 3.65 | 2.65 | 1.50 | 2.67 | 1.40 | 2.80 |
Recent form
- 10 OctANapoli0-3
- 2 OctHBenevento2-1
- 20 SeptHComo2-0
- 12 SeptAGenoa1-1
- 6 SeptHVenezia3-2
- 11 OctHAC Milan1-1
- 18 SeptAMonza1-2
- 13 SeptHJuventus3-2
- 6 SeptABologna2-2
- 2 SeptHFrosinone1-1
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | |
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | |
| 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 | |
| 20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: FAQ
What is the Frosinone vs Sassuolo prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.47. Our predicted score is Frosinone 2-1 Sassuolo.
Who is the favourite to win Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
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Frosinone are favourites. Our model gives Frosinone a 37% chance of winning, Sassuolo 35%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
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We rate both teams to score at 67%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Frosinone vs Sassuolo kick off?
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Frosinone vs Sassuolo kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Friday, 16 October 2026 at PSC Arena, Frosinone.