Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 9· FC Alverca Sports Complex
Alverca
Arouca24 Oct
Alverca vs Arouca Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.87
Expected goals
1.5 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
More Alverca vs Arouca tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Alverca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | 1.04 |
| AH2 +1.5Arouca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.33 | 1.15 |
| 1XAlverca or Draw | 73% | 1.36 | 1.37 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.40 | 1.26 |
| X2Arouca or Draw | 57% | 1.75 | 1.68 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 | 1.98 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 46% | 2.15 | 2.01 |
| 1Alverca to win | 43% | 2.33 | 2.26 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.29 | 3.52 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.51 | 3.20 |
| 2Arouca to win | 27% | 3.75 | 3.28 |
| AH1 -1.5Alverca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 4.06 | 4.20 |
| AH2 -1.5Arouca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.94 | 6.95 |
Alverca vs Arouca odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.10 | - | - | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.52 | 3.28 | 1.98 | 1.90 | 1.72 | 2.01 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.38 | 3.15 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.72 | 1.98 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.10 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.98 | 1.87 | 1.75 | 2.02 |
Alverca vs Arouca preview & analysis
Match preview
Alverca host Arouca in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 9) at FC Alverca Sports Complex on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Alverca arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Famalicao 4-1 away. They're 8th in the table with 11 points from 8 games. Arouca arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Estrela 1-0 at home. They're 5th in the table with 14 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Alverca have won 1, Arouca have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Alverca narrow favourites: Alverca 43%, draw 30%, Arouca 27%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.5 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 49% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.75, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Alverca 1-0 Arouca.
Recent form
Alverca- 12 OctAFamalicao4-1
- 19 SeptHRio Ave1-0
- 12 SeptANacional3-1
- 5 SeptHSC Braga1-2
- 29 AugHSanta Clara1-1
Arouca- 11 OctHEstrela1-0
- 19 SeptASporting CP2-2
- 13 SeptHSanta Clara1-2
- 7 SeptAEstoril0-0
- 29 AugHMaritimo2-1
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Alverca vs Arouca: FAQ
What is the Alverca vs Arouca prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.75. Our predicted score is Alverca 1-0 Arouca.
Who is the favourite to win Alverca vs Arouca?
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Alverca are favourites. Our model gives Alverca a 43% chance of winning, Arouca 27%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Alverca vs Arouca?
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We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Alverca vs Arouca kick off?
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Alverca vs Arouca kicks off at 14:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo.
