La Liga· Regular Season - 10· Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
Elche24 Oct
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.91
Expected goals
1.7 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
More Rayo Vallecano vs Elche tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Rayo Vallecano +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | 1.01 |
| 1XRayo Vallecano or Draw | 75% | 1.33 | 1.23 |
| AH2 +1.5Elche +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.42 | 1.44 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 | 1.36 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 54% | 1.86 | 1.73 |
| X2Elche or Draw | 53% | 1.89 | 2.11 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 | 2.07 |
| 1Rayo Vallecano to win | 47% | 2.12 | 1.81 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 46% | 2.16 | 2.05 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.17 | 2.84 |
| AH1 -1.5Rayo Vallecano -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.40 | 3.13 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.57 | 3.94 |
| 2Elche to win | 25% | 4.04 | 4.78 |
| AH2 -1.5Elche -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.98 | 9.00 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.40 | - | - | 1.73 | 2.05 |
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 3.94 | 4.78 | 1.88 | 2.07 | 1.73 | 2.02 |
| Dafabet | 1.79 | 3.80 | 4.40 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.33 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.76 | 3.84 | 4.65 | 1.82 | 2.01 | 1.73 | 1.99 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.50 | 1.75 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 3.81 | 4.46 | 1.83 | 2.01 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.69 | 3.42 | 4.07 | 1.89 | 1.97 | - | - |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.80 | 4.50 | 1.80 | 2.05 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche preview & analysis
Match preview
Rayo Vallecano host Elche in the La Liga (Regular Season - 10) at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 12:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Rayo Vallecano arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Most recently they drew with Athletic Club 0-0 at home. They're 13th in the table with 8 points from 7 games. Elche arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they drew with Celta Vigo 0-0 at home. They're 18th in the table with 6 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Rayo Vallecano have won 3, Elche have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Rayo Vallecano favourites: Rayo Vallecano 47%, draw 28%, Elche 25%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.7 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 52% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.88, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Elche.
Recent form
Rayo Vallecano- 10 OctHAthletic Club0-0
- 19 SeptAOsasuna1-1
- 15 SeptHEspanyol2-1
- 12 SeptAReal Madrid1-4
- 5 SeptHRacing Santander3-2
Elche- 11 OctHCelta Vigo0-0
- 18 SeptAEspanyol3-1
- 15 SeptHReal Madrid2-3
- 12 SeptAAthletic Club1-1
- 7 SeptHReal Sociedad2-3
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: FAQ
What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Elche prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.88. Our predicted score is Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Elche.
Who is the favourite to win Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
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Rayo Vallecano are favourites. Our model gives Rayo Vallecano a 47% chance of winning, Elche 25%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
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We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Rayo Vallecano vs Elche kick off?
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Rayo Vallecano vs Elche kicks off at 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid.
