Nations League· League A - 4· Cardiff City Stadium
Wales
Denmark0-1
FT
Wales vs Denmark Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Wales vs Denmark tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Denmark +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Denmark or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Wales +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| 1XWales or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| 2Denmark to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 39% | 2.57 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.59 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Denmark -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.49 | - |
| 1Wales to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Wales -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.02 | - |
Wales vs Denmark preview & analysis
Match preview
Wales host Denmark in the Nations League (League A - 4) at Cardiff City Stadium on Sunday, 4 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Wales are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Norway 2-1 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 3 points from 4 games. Denmark arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Portugal 2-4 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 6 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Wales have won 0, Denmark have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Denmark narrow favourites: Wales 23%, draw 38%, Denmark 39%. We expect around 3.1 goals (1.3 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 61% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Wales- 1 OctHNorway2-1
- 27 SeptADenmark0-2
- 24 SeptAPortugal0-1
- 6 JunARomania1-2
- 2 JunHGhana1-1
Denmark- 1 OctHPortugal2-4
- 27 SeptHWales2-0
- 24 SeptANorway2-3
- 7 JunHUkraine2-1
- 3 JunACongo DR0-0
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Wales vs Denmark: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Wales vs Denmark?
+
Denmark are favourites. Our model gives Wales a 23% chance of winning, Denmark 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Wales vs Denmark?
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We rate both teams to score at 61%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Wales vs Denmark kick off?
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Wales vs Denmark kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Sunday, 4 October 2026 at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff.
