Nations League· League A - 4· Philips Stadion
Netherlands
Serbia2-1
FT
Netherlands vs Serbia Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Netherlands vs Serbia tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Netherlands +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| 1XNetherlands or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Serbia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | - |
| X2Serbia or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| 1Netherlands to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Netherlands -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.13 | - |
| 2Serbia to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Serbia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 19.33 | - |
Netherlands vs Serbia preview & analysis
Match preview
Netherlands host Serbia in the Nations League (League A - 4) at Philips Stadion on Sunday, 4 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Netherlands arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Greece 2-2 away. They're 1st in the table with 8 points from 4 games. Serbia are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 14. Most recently they lost to Germany 0-2 away. They're 4th in the table with 0 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Netherlands have won 1, Serbia have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Netherlands favourites: Netherlands 47%, draw 41%, Serbia 12%. We expect around 2.9 goals (2.0 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 54% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Netherlands- 1 OctAGreece2-2
- 27 SeptASerbia2-1
- 24 SeptHGermany1-1
- 30 JunHMorocco1-1
- 26 JunATunisia3-1
Serbia- 1 OctAGermany0-2
- 27 SeptHNetherlands1-2
- 24 SeptHGreece1-2
- 5 JunAMexico1-5
- 31 MayACape Verde Islands0-3
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 0 |
Netherlands vs Serbia: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Netherlands vs Serbia?
+
Netherlands are favourites. Our model gives Netherlands a 47% chance of winning, Serbia 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Netherlands vs Serbia?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Netherlands vs Serbia kick off?
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Netherlands vs Serbia kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Sunday, 4 October 2026 at Philips Stadion, Eindhoven.
