Nations League· League A - 4· Toumba Stadium
Greece
Germany0-0
FT
Greece vs Germany Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Greece vs Germany tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Germany +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Greece +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.27 | - |
| X2Germany or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| 1XGreece or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Germany to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| 1Greece to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Germany -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Greece -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.44 | - |
Greece vs Germany preview & analysis
Match preview
Greece host Germany in the Nations League (League A - 4) at Toumba Stadium on Sunday, 4 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Greece arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Netherlands 2-2 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 8 points from 4 games. Germany arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Serbia 2-0 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 5 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Greece have won 1, Germany have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Germany narrow favourites: Greece 23%, draw 38%, Germany 39%. We expect around 2.2 goals (0.9 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Greece- 1 OctHNetherlands2-2
- 27 SeptAGermany1-0
- 24 SeptASerbia2-1
- 7 JunHItaly0-1
- 4 JunASweden2-2
Germany- 1 OctHSerbia2-0
- 27 SeptHGreece0-1
- 24 SeptANetherlands1-1
- 29 JunHParaguay1-1
- 25 JunAEcuador1-2
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 0 |
Greece vs Germany: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Greece vs Germany?
+
Germany are favourites. Our model gives Greece a 23% chance of winning, Germany 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Greece vs Germany?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Greece vs Germany kick off?
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Greece vs Germany kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Sunday, 4 October 2026 at Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki.
