Brasileirão· Regular Season - 33· São Januário
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo29 Oct
Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Flamengo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Flamengo or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Vasco DA Gama +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XVasco DA Gama or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Flamengo to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Flamengo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.36 | - |
| 1Vasco DA Gama to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Vasco DA Gama -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 10.71 | - |
Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo preview & analysis
Match preview
Vasco DA Gama host Flamengo in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 33) at São Januário on Thursday, 29 October 2026, with kick-off at 23:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Vasco DA Gama arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Boca Juniors 1-0 away. They're 14th in the table with 35 points from 29 games. Flamengo arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Fluminense 1-0 at home. They're 1st in the table with 64 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Vasco DA Gama have won 0, Flamengo have won 3 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Flamengo narrow favourites: Vasco DA Gama 23%, draw 38%, Flamengo 39%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Vasco DA Gama 0-1 Flamengo.
Recent form
Vasco DA Gama- 14 OctABoca Juniors1-0
- 10 OctHRemo0-0
- 8 OctABotafogo2-1
- 20 SeptHCoritiba5-0
- 15 SeptHSanta Fe2-0
Flamengo- 11 OctHFluminense1-0
- 8 OctASantos2-2
- 20 SeptHRB Bragantino2-1
- 18 SeptHIndependiente del Valle1-1
- 13 SeptHCorinthians2-1
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 | Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo: FAQ
What is the Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 0-1 Flamengo.
Who is the favourite to win Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo?
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Flamengo are favourites. Our model gives Vasco DA Gama a 23% chance of winning, Flamengo 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo kick off?
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Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo kicks off at 23:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026 at São Januário, Rio de Janeiro.
