Frosinone
Lecce29 Oct
Frosinone vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Frosinone vs Lecce tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Frosinone +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XFrosinone or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Lecce +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Lecce or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Frosinone to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Frosinone -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| 2Lecce to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Lecce -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.68 | - |
Frosinone vs Lecce preview & analysis
Match preview
Frosinone host Lecce in the Serie A (Regular Season - 9) at Stadio Benito Stirpe on Thursday, 29 October 2026, with kick-off at 17:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Frosinone arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Napoli 0-3 away. They're 9th in the table with 10 points from 6 games. Lecce are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Bologna 1-2 at home. They're 13th in the table with 6 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Frosinone have won 0, Lecce have won 3 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Frosinone narrow favourites: Frosinone 44%, draw 38%, Lecce 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Frosinone 2-1 Lecce.
Recent form
- 10 OctANapoli0-3
- 2 OctHBenevento2-1
- 20 SeptHComo2-0
- 12 SeptAGenoa1-1
- 6 SeptHVenezia3-2
- 11 OctHBologna1-2
- 20 SeptAAC Milan0-3
- 13 SeptHMonza3-2
- 7 SeptACagliari0-1
- 31 AugHAS Roma0-4
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | |
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | |
| 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 | |
| 20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
Frosinone vs Lecce: FAQ
What is the Frosinone vs Lecce prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Frosinone 2-1 Lecce.
Who is the favourite to win Frosinone vs Lecce?
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Frosinone are favourites. Our model gives Frosinone a 44% chance of winning, Lecce 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Frosinone vs Lecce?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Frosinone vs Lecce kick off?
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Frosinone vs Lecce kicks off at 17:30 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026 at Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone.