Serie A· Regular Season - 9· Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina
Atalanta29 Oct
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Fiorentina vs Atalanta tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Atalanta +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Atalanta or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Fiorentina +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| 1XFiorentina or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| 2Atalanta to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Atalanta -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| 1Fiorentina to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Fiorentina -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.27 | - |
Fiorentina vs Atalanta preview & analysis
Match preview
Fiorentina host Atalanta in the Serie A (Regular Season - 9) at Stadio Artemio Franchi on Thursday, 29 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Fiorentina arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Genoa 1-2 away. They're 19th in the table with 4 points from 6 games. Atalanta are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat Pafos 3-1 at home. They're 10th in the table with 9 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Fiorentina have won 2, Atalanta have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atalanta narrow favourites: Fiorentina 23%, draw 38%, Atalanta 39%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 59% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Fiorentina 1-2 Atalanta.
Recent form
Fiorentina- 10 OctAGenoa1-2
- 20 SeptHNapoli1-1
- 15 SeptHPisa3-0
- 11 SeptAVenezia4-2
- 5 SeptHTorino1-2
Atalanta- 15 OctHPafos3-1
- 12 OctHVenezia3-1
- 20 SeptAJuventus0-2
- 12 SeptHCagliari1-2
- 5 SeptAAS Roma1-2
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
Fiorentina vs Atalanta: FAQ
What is the Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Fiorentina 1-2 Atalanta.
Who is the favourite to win Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
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Atalanta are favourites. Our model gives Fiorentina a 23% chance of winning, Atalanta 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Fiorentina vs Atalanta kick off?
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Fiorentina vs Atalanta kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026 at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence.